WEBVTT

0
00:00:01.549 --> 00:00:03.680
Welcome to Predictable with Stu.

1
00:00:04.929 --> 00:00:05.789
How do I say this?

2
00:00:09.409 --> 00:00:10.689
This is gonna be a frustrating episode,

3
00:00:10.770 --> 00:00:12.000
but maybe great for you,

4
00:00:12.090 --> 00:00:13.949
and we'll get to that in a second cause we have

5
00:00:14.090 --> 00:00:14.710
to talk

6
00:00:14.850 --> 00:00:15.689
about Hong.

7
00:00:15.970 --> 00:00:16.250
Yes,

8
00:00:16.409 --> 00:00:17.649
Wisconsin's primary last night,

9
00:00:17.690 --> 00:00:18.600
if you missed the live stream,

10
00:00:18.729 --> 00:00:20.250
what a freaking rollercoaster.

11
00:00:20.329 --> 00:00:21.920
We have audience winners and losers.

12
00:00:22.129 --> 00:00:23.350
I will tell you every position

13
00:00:23.610 --> 00:00:25.569
that I had on last night's election,

14
00:00:25.739 --> 00:00:26.549
the good and the

15
00:00:26.829 --> 00:00:27.010
very,

16
00:00:27.090 --> 00:00:27.879
very bad.

17
00:00:28.079 --> 00:00:28.670
And

18
00:00:29.049 --> 00:00:32.090
we shall amend the Constitution

19
00:00:32.330 --> 00:00:33.630
of predictable.

20
00:00:33.930 --> 00:00:35.049
We do that

21
00:00:35.450 --> 00:00:36.009
next.

22
00:00:50.590 --> 00:00:50.750
Oh,

23
00:00:50.830 --> 00:00:51.849
what a night last night.

24
00:00:52.150 --> 00:00:52.950
It was incredible.

25
00:00:53.060 --> 00:00:53.540
Honestly,

26
00:00:53.630 --> 00:00:53.909
we did,

27
00:00:53.990 --> 00:00:54.310
I think,

28
00:00:54.349 --> 00:00:55.790
a 4-hour livestream.

29
00:00:55.869 --> 00:00:57.750
I didn't expect you to hang out for the entire thing,

30
00:00:57.819 --> 00:01:00.069
but if you were able to join us for some of it,

31
00:01:00.389 --> 00:01:00.619
uh,

32
00:01:00.709 --> 00:01:03.009
it was a really fun time as we watched,

33
00:01:03.380 --> 00:01:04.550
like a lot of it was interesting,

34
00:01:04.709 --> 00:01:05.470
but really the,

35
00:01:05.550 --> 00:01:05.800
the,

36
00:01:05.870 --> 00:01:06.970
the star of the show

37
00:01:07.239 --> 00:01:08.790
was Francesca Hong.

38
00:01:09.069 --> 00:01:09.419
Uh,

39
00:01:09.669 --> 00:01:10.389
she

40
00:01:10.940 --> 00:01:12.919
Had a very up and down evening

41
00:01:13.059 --> 00:01:16.720
and uh it was really amazing to watch in real time.

42
00:01:16.819 --> 00:01:18.459
If you like prediction markets,

43
00:01:18.569 --> 00:01:20.339
if you like understanding the elections,

44
00:01:20.739 --> 00:01:23.360
if you like cutting through all the nonsense of the mainstream media,

45
00:01:24.019 --> 00:01:25.400
go to predictableShow.com.

46
00:01:25.739 --> 00:01:26.150
There,

47
00:01:26.260 --> 00:01:27.360
you can sign up for free.

48
00:01:27.620 --> 00:01:27.870
Watch,

49
00:01:27.940 --> 00:01:28.099
uh,

50
00:01:28.199 --> 00:01:28.459
I mean,

51
00:01:28.580 --> 00:01:29.639
most of the stream was free,

52
00:01:29.910 --> 00:01:30.169
uh,

53
00:01:30.180 --> 00:01:30.760
last night,

54
00:01:30.819 --> 00:01:31.089
uh,

55
00:01:31.139 --> 00:01:33.519
but we did also give you a premium subscriber

56
00:01:33.519 --> 00:01:35.879
chat as well that went well into the evening.

57
00:01:36.269 --> 00:01:37.519
And it was just bonkers,

58
00:01:37.589 --> 00:01:38.120
frankly,

59
00:01:38.360 --> 00:01:39.360
the entire time.

60
00:01:39.599 --> 00:01:43.379
It was a lot of fun and we had all of my picks were up there in advance.

61
00:01:43.470 --> 00:01:43.559
Uh,

62
00:01:43.599 --> 00:01:45.559
if you're a premium subscriber,

63
00:01:45.889 --> 00:01:46.459
you get that,

64
00:01:46.519 --> 00:01:49.480
you get a great community of people talking about their positions and when,

65
00:01:49.559 --> 00:01:50.959
how they won and how they lost and honestly,

66
00:01:51.000 --> 00:01:51.739
there's so much

67
00:01:52.349 --> 00:01:52.639
information there,

68
00:01:52.680 --> 00:01:53.919
it's worth the resource just for that.

69
00:01:54.040 --> 00:01:54.339
So,

70
00:01:54.519 --> 00:01:55.839
join us PredictableShow.com.

71
00:01:55.919 --> 00:01:56.040
Now,

72
00:01:56.080 --> 00:01:56.709
one of the things,

73
00:01:57.000 --> 00:01:58.139
I don't know if this counts

74
00:01:58.800 --> 00:01:59.160
as a,

75
00:01:59.230 --> 00:02:01.800
as part of the benefits of being a subscriber.

76
00:02:02.400 --> 00:02:03.480
To predictableShow.com,

77
00:02:03.559 --> 00:02:03.900
but

78
00:02:04.120 --> 00:02:04.660
I asked,

79
00:02:04.669 --> 00:02:05.110
uh,

80
00:02:05.120 --> 00:02:05.779
this morning

81
00:02:06.040 --> 00:02:06.639
the question.

82
00:02:07.550 --> 00:02:11.470
What should the name of the Hong election slash trading roller coaster be?

83
00:02:12.360 --> 00:02:13.389
Threw a couple out there.

84
00:02:13.649 --> 00:02:14.449
Hong gone.

85
00:02:15.529 --> 00:02:15.839
Going,

86
00:02:15.929 --> 00:02:16.789
going hong.

87
00:02:17.710 --> 00:02:18.570
Wrong Hong

88
00:02:19.300 --> 00:02:20.729
The Thanksgiving turkey.

89
00:02:21.229 --> 00:02:23.149
Give me your ideas and your horrible puns.

90
00:02:23.630 --> 00:02:25.820
And you absolutely came through.

91
00:02:26.190 --> 00:02:26.779
Harris wrote,

92
00:02:26.850 --> 00:02:28.350
ding dong Hong is gong.

93
00:02:30.460 --> 00:02:30.919
This is gonna be,

94
00:02:30.970 --> 00:02:32.729
I'm not gonna be gonna get through this stupid segment.

95
00:02:32.970 --> 00:02:34.429
Discussions in darkness says

96
00:02:34.570 --> 00:02:35.520
high on the Hong.

97
00:02:35.770 --> 00:02:36.449
Brian A,

98
00:02:36.529 --> 00:02:38.029
the Hong ideas.

99
00:02:38.449 --> 00:02:40.270
Scott says going going Hong.

100
00:02:40.690 --> 00:02:41.429
John Kelly,

101
00:02:41.610 --> 00:02:41.880
uh,

102
00:02:41.889 --> 00:02:42.619
Hongon Fe.

103
00:02:44.190 --> 00:02:45.050
So stupid.

104
00:02:48.029 --> 00:02:48.880
Justin says

105
00:02:49.000 --> 00:02:51.339
the Wisconsin Thanksgiving turkey drop,

106
00:02:51.860 --> 00:02:52.059
a little,

107
00:02:52.100 --> 00:02:52.919
uh,

108
00:02:52.940 --> 00:02:53.710
WISC,

109
00:02:54.419 --> 00:02:54.889
uh,

110
00:02:54.899 --> 00:02:55.559
Thanksgiving

111
00:02:55.779 --> 00:02:56.580
turkey drop

112
00:02:56.860 --> 00:02:58.039
instead of the WKRP.

113
00:02:58.580 --> 00:02:59.649
Thanksgiving turkey drop,

114
00:02:59.699 --> 00:02:59.899
of course,

115
00:03:00.039 --> 00:03:02.479
Stephanie at the beach writes Hunger Games.

116
00:03:03.600 --> 00:03:05.179
Rob L hung so wrong.

117
00:03:05.880 --> 00:03:06.160
Uh,

118
00:03:06.240 --> 00:03:06.839
we've got,

119
00:03:06.919 --> 00:03:07.080
uh,

120
00:03:07.160 --> 00:03:08.539
the Crawley Crawl,

121
00:03:09.070 --> 00:03:09.270
uh,

122
00:03:09.440 --> 00:03:09.699
from

123
00:03:10.119 --> 00:03:10.619
Paul.

124
00:03:11.919 --> 00:03:12.279
Uh,

125
00:03:12.559 --> 00:03:13.320
Christian Hong,

126
00:03:13.399 --> 00:03:14.660
if you love Jesus,

127
00:03:15.360 --> 00:03:16.539
you know what that means.

128
00:03:16.830 --> 00:03:17.460
Uh,

129
00:03:17.759 --> 00:03:18.429
and this one,

130
00:03:18.639 --> 00:03:19.279
if she won,

131
00:03:19.320 --> 00:03:20.259
would have been good,

132
00:03:20.600 --> 00:03:21.919
but since she did not,

133
00:03:22.240 --> 00:03:23.860
I will say this one doesn't work.

134
00:03:24.080 --> 00:03:25.279
Me love you Hong time.

135
00:03:26.729 --> 00:03:27.610
That's all of those,

136
00:03:27.710 --> 00:03:28.500
all of those were,

137
00:03:28.990 --> 00:03:29.729
were not right.

138
00:03:30.479 --> 00:03:32.029
I hope you understand that they are very,

139
00:03:32.160 --> 00:03:32.800
very hung.

140
00:03:35.110 --> 00:03:38.199
83 days until the midterm elections and so many

141
00:03:38.199 --> 00:03:40.729
more puns in that time coming your way.

142
00:03:40.800 --> 00:03:41.389
I honestly,

143
00:03:41.479 --> 00:03:44.759
I don't really wanna do the show anymore.

144
00:03:44.839 --> 00:03:46.839
I don't really wanna trade prediction markets anymore.

145
00:03:46.910 --> 00:03:48.380
I don't wanna talk about politics anymore.

146
00:03:48.679 --> 00:03:50.320
Just wanna come up with funny names

147
00:03:50.580 --> 00:03:51.380
for elections.

148
00:03:51.639 --> 00:03:52.669
That's what I wanna do.

149
00:03:52.960 --> 00:03:55.479
Thanks so much for joining us on Predictable with Stu.

150
00:03:56.070 --> 00:03:56.979
The race ended

151
00:03:57.240 --> 00:03:58.000
thusly.

152
00:03:59.000 --> 00:03:59.960
David Crowley.

153
00:04:00.479 --> 00:04:00.679
I mean,

154
00:04:00.779 --> 00:04:04.199
in an absolutely unbelievable win,

155
00:04:04.600 --> 00:04:07.020
39.8% of the vote,

156
00:04:07.369 --> 00:04:07.589
uh,

157
00:04:07.759 --> 00:04:08.619
won by

158
00:04:08.960 --> 00:04:10.490
about 4000 votes,

159
00:04:10.559 --> 00:04:11.479
a little bit less than that.

160
00:04:12.500 --> 00:04:15.839
39.3% of the vote for Francesca Hung.

161
00:04:16.459 --> 00:04:17.220
I will say,

162
00:04:17.420 --> 00:04:19.760
one of the worst polling misses

163
00:04:20.220 --> 00:04:21.019
that I can remember.

164
00:04:21.100 --> 00:04:21.738
And here's,

165
00:04:22.179 --> 00:04:22.739
I was almost,

166
00:04:22.820 --> 00:04:24.619
I was thinking about this last night cause I,

167
00:04:24.859 --> 00:04:24.929
we,

168
00:04:25.029 --> 00:04:25.609
we were up till,

169
00:04:25.660 --> 00:04:26.059
I don't know,

170
00:04:26.170 --> 00:04:26.829
midnight,

171
00:04:26.980 --> 00:04:27.299
uh,

172
00:04:27.420 --> 00:04:28.649
central streaming,

173
00:04:28.980 --> 00:04:29.690
and then I went to bed,

174
00:04:29.739 --> 00:04:30.100
but I didn't,

175
00:04:30.179 --> 00:04:30.869
I couldn't fall asleep because I,

176
00:04:31.220 --> 00:04:33.109
I get too pumped up for this stuff.

177
00:04:33.140 --> 00:04:33.579
I love it.

178
00:04:34.179 --> 00:04:35.279
And I started thinking,

179
00:04:35.660 --> 00:04:35.739
and,

180
00:04:35.859 --> 00:04:37.980
and the production team's gonna hate this idea,

181
00:04:38.220 --> 00:04:39.500
but I was starting to think I might

182
00:04:39.500 --> 00:04:42.279
need to develop state-level constitutions on the show.

183
00:04:42.649 --> 00:04:42.839
Because

184
00:04:43.660 --> 00:04:44.540
what we should do,

185
00:04:44.619 --> 00:04:46.660
a state-level constitutional amendment for the state of

186
00:04:46.660 --> 00:04:49.989
Wisconsin is never believe polling in Wisconsin.

187
00:04:50.290 --> 00:04:50.859
That's a new,

188
00:04:50.940 --> 00:04:51.059
I,

189
00:04:51.140 --> 00:04:51.660
I don't know,

190
00:04:51.899 --> 00:04:53.359
maybe we'll roll those out eventually.

191
00:04:53.540 --> 00:04:53.959
But

192
00:04:54.660 --> 00:04:55.899
holy crap,

193
00:04:56.019 --> 00:04:56.279
guys.

194
00:04:56.339 --> 00:04:56.570
I mean,

195
00:04:56.619 --> 00:04:58.320
every single poll

196
00:04:58.529 --> 00:05:01.320
had hung up by 20 points or more.

197
00:05:02.070 --> 00:05:02.350
And if,

198
00:05:02.429 --> 00:05:03.510
and if it was one poll,

199
00:05:03.589 --> 00:05:04.690
you'd throw it out the window.

200
00:05:04.869 --> 00:05:06.329
So cause sometimes there's big misses.

201
00:05:06.429 --> 00:05:08.890
It was poll after poll after poll

202
00:05:09.019 --> 00:05:09.769
after poll,

203
00:05:09.899 --> 00:05:11.170
all showing the same thing.

204
00:05:11.390 --> 00:05:12.609
One of the most recent polls

205
00:05:12.750 --> 00:05:13.140
was,

206
00:05:13.149 --> 00:05:13.649
uh,

207
00:05:13.660 --> 00:05:17.570
was hung over a guy who had already dropped out by 25 points,

208
00:05:17.750 --> 00:05:18.790
and Crowley was in 3,

209
00:05:19.200 --> 00:05:20.850
like 35 points behind.

210
00:05:21.309 --> 00:05:22.609
I might remind you.

211
00:05:23.750 --> 00:05:24.899
That this man

212
00:05:25.350 --> 00:05:26.649
who won this race,

213
00:05:27.309 --> 00:05:28.230
David Crowley.

214
00:05:30.329 --> 00:05:34.170
This man dropped out of this race in July.

215
00:05:35.679 --> 00:05:37.750
He didn't drop out of the race last time,

216
00:05:37.929 --> 00:05:40.390
he dropped out of a race a few weeks ago.

217
00:05:40.529 --> 00:05:42.940
He dropped out of the race.

218
00:05:44.700 --> 00:05:46.790
And then they dropped out of the race to

219
00:05:46.790 --> 00:05:49.670
kind of codify the race around a moderate candidate,

220
00:05:49.989 --> 00:05:50.109
uh,

221
00:05:50.230 --> 00:05:50.380
you know,

222
00:05:50.549 --> 00:05:50.709
again,

223
00:05:50.829 --> 00:05:51.989
air quotes on the moderate.

224
00:05:52.220 --> 00:05:52.670
Uh,

225
00:05:52.910 --> 00:05:53.470
she came in,

226
00:05:53.549 --> 00:05:55.010
she had problems with her campaign,

227
00:05:55.149 --> 00:05:56.089
she dropped out.

228
00:05:56.790 --> 00:05:58.190
Then the governor came in and said,

229
00:05:58.269 --> 00:06:00.529
I endorse this guy who's dropped out.

230
00:06:00.679 --> 00:06:01.869
He gets back in

231
00:06:01.989 --> 00:06:03.049
and somehow wins.

232
00:06:03.799 --> 00:06:04.829
And when you look at the polling,

233
00:06:04.910 --> 00:06:05.200
honestly,

234
00:06:05.279 --> 00:06:06.920
they had hung around 40%.

235
00:06:07.000 --> 00:06:08.390
That part of it was probably true.

236
00:06:08.600 --> 00:06:10.579
The problem was every other voter

237
00:06:10.720 --> 00:06:13.000
and for all of the candidates that dropped out,

238
00:06:13.239 --> 00:06:13.940
pretty much

239
00:06:14.109 --> 00:06:14.820
went over

240
00:06:15.040 --> 00:06:16.179
to David Crowley.

241
00:06:16.440 --> 00:06:17.959
And it was an absolutely incredible night,

242
00:06:18.040 --> 00:06:18.959
a roller coaster night.

243
00:06:19.019 --> 00:06:20.600
Let me show you the graph from Cal Cal sheet.

244
00:06:20.679 --> 00:06:21.299
This is what it looked like.

245
00:06:22.750 --> 00:06:24.790
You see the ups and the downs and the ups and the downs

246
00:06:24.790 --> 00:06:26.420
and the ups and the downs and the ups and the downs.

247
00:06:26.429 --> 00:06:26.670
I mean,

248
00:06:26.820 --> 00:06:28.130
every single one of these

249
00:06:28.309 --> 00:06:30.200
was a wild roller coaster.

250
00:06:30.390 --> 00:06:33.429
You see it bouncing back wildly from 25 to 75 over

251
00:06:33.429 --> 00:06:35.570
and over and over and over and over and over again,

252
00:06:36.190 --> 00:06:38.029
which in what was once a stable race.

253
00:06:38.109 --> 00:06:38.589
Remember,

254
00:06:38.940 --> 00:06:41.250
Francesca Hong comes into this night

255
00:06:41.350 --> 00:06:43.730
at 95%

256
00:06:43.869 --> 00:06:44.369
to win,

257
00:06:44.790 --> 00:06:45.820
and she winds up losing.

258
00:06:45.899 --> 00:06:47.529
Now this has cut off before

259
00:06:47.989 --> 00:06:48.809
she actually

260
00:06:49.029 --> 00:06:50.350
winds up losing.

261
00:06:51.109 --> 00:06:52.000
But as I was going through this,

262
00:06:52.040 --> 00:06:53.100
I was thinking to myself.

263
00:06:54.589 --> 00:06:56.230
You can play some a market like this really,

264
00:06:56.309 --> 00:06:57.130
really stupidly.

265
00:06:57.910 --> 00:06:58.410
Or

266
00:06:59.299 --> 00:07:00.149
You could play it

267
00:07:00.339 --> 00:07:01.119
perfectly.

268
00:07:01.500 --> 00:07:02.299
So I give you.

269
00:07:03.239 --> 00:07:04.380
The perfect trade

270
00:07:12.570 --> 00:07:13.440
What if

271
00:07:13.899 --> 00:07:16.380
you called every single twist and turn.

272
00:07:17.049 --> 00:07:18.109
The perfect way

273
00:07:18.859 --> 00:07:19.839
You wound up

274
00:07:20.079 --> 00:07:21.359
with the perfect trade.

275
00:07:21.619 --> 00:07:22.600
Let me show you

276
00:07:22.850 --> 00:07:23.880
how it was done.

277
00:07:24.260 --> 00:07:25.000
You start

278
00:07:25.619 --> 00:07:27.200
with $100.

279
00:07:27.739 --> 00:07:31.010
You buy Crowley at 4% at the beginning of the evening,

280
00:07:31.250 --> 00:07:33.619
and you sell him at 73%,

281
00:07:33.899 --> 00:07:36.940
bringing your bankroll up to $1,825.

282
00:07:37.059 --> 00:07:37.880
That's step one.

283
00:07:38.450 --> 00:07:38.980
Step two,

284
00:07:39.059 --> 00:07:41.179
you take that $1,825.

285
00:07:41.459 --> 00:07:42.660
You buy Hong.

286
00:07:43.220 --> 00:07:44.739
At 27%,

287
00:07:44.899 --> 00:07:46.859
you sell Hong at 53%,

288
00:07:46.940 --> 00:07:50.519
your total bankroll up to $3,582.

289
00:07:50.769 --> 00:07:51.600
Step three,

290
00:07:51.929 --> 00:07:55.000
you take that $3,582 you buy Crowley

291
00:07:55.179 --> 00:07:56.529
at 47%,

292
00:07:56.779 --> 00:07:59.239
and then you sell Crowley at 61%,

293
00:07:59.519 --> 00:08:02.359
your bankroll up to $4650.

294
00:08:02.519 --> 00:08:03.500
Step 4.

295
00:08:04.500 --> 00:08:08.489
You take that $4650 you buy Hong at 39%,

296
00:08:08.779 --> 00:08:09.959
and you sell Hong

297
00:08:10.140 --> 00:08:11.470
at 55%,

298
00:08:11.700 --> 00:08:15.179
your total bankroll up to $6,557.

299
00:08:15.339 --> 00:08:16.320
Step five.

300
00:08:17.519 --> 00:08:22.119
You take that $6,557 you buy Crowley at 45%,

301
00:08:22.200 --> 00:08:24.559
you sell Crowley at 86%,

302
00:08:24.720 --> 00:08:28.549
your total bankroll up to $12,531.

303
00:08:28.950 --> 00:08:30.019
Step six.

304
00:08:30.519 --> 00:08:34.558
You take that $12,531 you buy Hong at 14%,

305
00:08:34.719 --> 00:08:37.419
you sell Hong at 72%,

306
00:08:37.659 --> 00:08:41.760
upping your bankroll to $64,446.

307
00:08:42.109 --> 00:08:42.849
Step 7.

308
00:08:43.318 --> 00:08:46.578
You take that $64,446 and you buy Crowley

309
00:08:46.758 --> 00:08:48.059
at 28%,

310
00:08:48.119 --> 00:08:50.398
and then you sell Crowley at 65%,

311
00:08:50.638 --> 00:08:55.138
your bankroll up to $149,607.

312
00:08:55.559 --> 00:08:56.658
Step 8.

313
00:08:57.158 --> 00:09:00.859
You take that $149,607 and you buy Hong

314
00:09:01.078 --> 00:09:02.198
at 35%,

315
00:09:02.278 --> 00:09:03.338
you sell Hong

316
00:09:03.518 --> 00:09:05.098
at 72%,

317
00:09:05.359 --> 00:09:10.239
your bankroll up to $307,762.

318
00:09:10.448 --> 00:09:11.758
Step 9.

319
00:09:12.659 --> 00:09:17.409
You take that $307,762 and you buy Crowley at 28%.

320
00:09:17.659 --> 00:09:18.179
And then you sell,

321
00:09:18.260 --> 00:09:18.890
I think Crowley,

322
00:09:18.940 --> 00:09:20.059
I have that labeled wrong,

323
00:09:20.340 --> 00:09:21.460
at 43%.

324
00:09:21.700 --> 00:09:22.570
Total bankroll,

325
00:09:22.700 --> 00:09:26.820
$472,635.

326
00:09:27.580 --> 00:09:28.440
Step 10,

327
00:09:28.739 --> 00:09:33.349
you take that $472,635 you buy Hong at $57

328
00:09:33.539 --> 00:09:34.760
you sell Hong

329
00:09:34.979 --> 00:09:36.239
at $75

330
00:09:36.419 --> 00:09:41.099
for a total bankroll of $621,888.

331
00:09:41.330 --> 00:09:42.619
Step 11.

332
00:09:42.750 --> 00:09:44.099
And then the final step,

333
00:09:44.510 --> 00:09:49.909
you take that $621,888 you buy Crowley at $25

334
00:09:50.150 --> 00:09:50.729
you sell

335
00:09:50.989 --> 00:09:51.460
Crowley,

336
00:09:51.469 --> 00:09:51.940
actually,

337
00:09:52.070 --> 00:09:53.989
not even at $750 you could ride that one all

338
00:09:53.989 --> 00:09:56.340
the way up to $1000 because he wound up winning.

339
00:09:56.580 --> 00:09:58.010
Your total bankroll,

340
00:09:58.510 --> 00:10:06.099
$2,487,551 and that,

341
00:10:06.150 --> 00:10:07.010
my friends,

342
00:10:07.510 --> 00:10:08.809
is how to spend an evening

343
00:10:09.109 --> 00:10:12.630
turning $100 into $2.5 million.

344
00:10:12.979 --> 00:10:14.049
In 11

345
00:10:14.260 --> 00:10:15.059
easy steps.

346
00:10:16.960 --> 00:10:19.109
What a night that was.

347
00:10:19.479 --> 00:10:20.760
It was a lot of fun.

348
00:10:22.159 --> 00:10:24.830
And there was a lot of lessons to be learned,

349
00:10:25.260 --> 00:10:26.330
lessons that

350
00:10:26.530 --> 00:10:29.109
your wonderful host of this program,

351
00:10:29.530 --> 00:10:31.030
maybe didn't learn

352
00:10:32.119 --> 00:10:32.989
until after.

353
00:10:34.799 --> 00:10:36.460
The Hong election was over.

354
00:10:38.419 --> 00:10:42.219
I will tell you about every single position I took on last night's election,

355
00:10:42.260 --> 00:10:44.700
and I will tell you they all live on this fancy card right here.

356
00:10:45.909 --> 00:10:46.739
Wrote them down myself.

357
00:10:48.450 --> 00:10:51.109
It was one of the most frustrating exercises

358
00:10:51.369 --> 00:10:53.609
I've ever been through in my entire life.

359
00:10:53.729 --> 00:10:54.150
I

360
00:10:55.489 --> 00:10:56.880
It was infuriating,

361
00:10:57.099 --> 00:10:58.710
and I'll tell you about it next.

362
00:11:17.150 --> 00:11:17.510
All right,

363
00:11:17.619 --> 00:11:18.109
audience,

364
00:11:18.190 --> 00:11:20.619
winners and losers who did well last night?

365
00:11:20.710 --> 00:11:21.590
Let's get right to it.

366
00:11:21.789 --> 00:11:23.109
Gammapa Knight says,

367
00:11:23.229 --> 00:11:24.469
Dagnabbit stew,

368
00:11:25.070 --> 00:11:26.559
you made me lose 7 cents.

369
00:11:26.710 --> 00:11:27.150
LOL.

370
00:11:27.390 --> 00:11:27.809
Otherwise,

371
00:11:27.830 --> 00:11:28.469
I did pretty good.

372
00:11:28.549 --> 00:11:29.820
I started out at $41

373
00:11:30.390 --> 00:11:31.590
and some change in my account.

374
00:11:31.750 --> 00:11:33.429
Now I'm over 52.

375
00:11:33.630 --> 00:11:34.210
Congratulations.

376
00:11:34.429 --> 00:11:34.590
Very,

377
00:11:34.679 --> 00:11:35.190
very good.

378
00:11:35.309 --> 00:11:36.710
Dark Horse 1791

379
00:11:36.989 --> 00:11:37.260
says,

380
00:11:37.270 --> 00:11:38.260
it's been amazing.

381
00:11:38.469 --> 00:11:40.359
Buy between 10 and 35,

382
00:11:40.549 --> 00:11:42.229
sell between 50 and 65,

383
00:11:42.270 --> 00:11:43.309
rinse and repeat.

384
00:11:43.669 --> 00:11:44.809
With the other candidate

385
00:11:45.109 --> 00:11:46.349
regardless of final fishing up,

386
00:11:46.469 --> 00:11:46.590
uh,

387
00:11:46.669 --> 00:11:47.890
finishing up at least

388
00:11:48.099 --> 00:11:50.830
150% tonight.

389
00:11:50.950 --> 00:11:51.549
Yes,

390
00:11:51.710 --> 00:11:52.669
congratulations.

391
00:11:53.150 --> 00:11:54.210
Couple of winners there.

392
00:11:54.390 --> 00:11:54.780
Now.

393
00:11:55.780 --> 00:11:56.299
Is this real?

394
00:11:56.340 --> 00:11:58.039
Is this really Scottylicious?

395
00:11:58.820 --> 00:11:59.340
Scottylicious,

396
00:11:59.349 --> 00:12:00.729
a premium subscriber.

397
00:12:00.940 --> 00:12:01.229
Welcome,

398
00:12:01.380 --> 00:12:01.820
Scottylicious.

399
00:12:01.890 --> 00:12:04.059
This is a guy who's made $2 million on prediction markets.

400
00:12:04.219 --> 00:12:04.929
When I tell you,

401
00:12:05.140 --> 00:12:06.359
the community is awesome

402
00:12:06.750 --> 00:12:08.039
as on the premium tier

403
00:12:08.219 --> 00:12:10.219
of predictableShow.com.

404
00:12:10.299 --> 00:12:11.280
I am not kidding you.

405
00:12:11.700 --> 00:12:14.789
This is one of the top prediction market traders in the world,

406
00:12:14.979 --> 00:12:18.260
and he's sitting in there chatting with you about prediction markets.

407
00:12:18.380 --> 00:12:19.340
This is so awesome.

408
00:12:19.619 --> 00:12:20.299
Scottylicious,

409
00:12:20.700 --> 00:12:20.809
uh,

410
00:12:20.859 --> 00:12:21.380
he's a legend.

411
00:12:21.460 --> 00:12:21.659
He's,

412
00:12:21.739 --> 00:12:22.140
we did a,

413
00:12:22.219 --> 00:12:22.840
a legend,

414
00:12:22.940 --> 00:12:23.309
uh,

415
00:12:23.369 --> 00:12:23.780
interview with,

416
00:12:23.820 --> 00:12:24.260
um,

417
00:12:24.380 --> 00:12:24.820
uh,

418
00:12:24.859 --> 00:12:26.119
predictable Legends interview with

419
00:12:26.309 --> 00:12:27.530
Scottylicious not that long ago.

420
00:12:27.580 --> 00:12:28.359
You can go watch that.

421
00:12:28.380 --> 00:12:30.849
And there's also a bonus Q&A if you're a premium subscriber.

422
00:12:31.140 --> 00:12:33.340
So happy to have him as part of the community.

423
00:12:33.460 --> 00:12:33.770
Wow,

424
00:12:33.979 --> 00:12:34.330
that's really,

425
00:12:34.380 --> 00:12:34.960
really cool.

426
00:12:35.460 --> 00:12:36.460
Although he didn't have a great night.

427
00:12:36.979 --> 00:12:37.630
He didn't have a great night.

428
00:12:37.710 --> 00:12:37.940
He says,

429
00:12:37.950 --> 00:12:39.429
I was bonding in the 90s,

430
00:12:39.750 --> 00:12:39.909
buying,

431
00:12:39.989 --> 00:12:41.140
that means like buying uh,

432
00:12:41.150 --> 00:12:42.750
what looks like a sure thing in the 90s,

433
00:12:42.950 --> 00:12:43.059
uh,

434
00:12:43.070 --> 00:12:45.479
re-upped Hong between 29 and 35.

435
00:12:45.599 --> 00:12:46.929
Originally it was gonna stay away,

436
00:12:47.229 --> 00:12:49.669
but thought about the progressive tradition in Wisconsin and those

437
00:12:49.669 --> 00:12:52.380
huge polls and got tempted and went way too heavy,

438
00:12:52.750 --> 00:12:53.909
said David Ben Soussan,

439
00:12:54.190 --> 00:12:54.260
uh,

440
00:12:54.270 --> 00:12:55.309
AKA Scottylicious.

441
00:12:55.380 --> 00:12:56.090
I will say,

442
00:12:56.429 --> 00:12:57.440
I had the same thoughts.

443
00:12:57.669 --> 00:12:57.770
Uh,

444
00:12:57.830 --> 00:12:59.190
I went down the exact same road.

445
00:12:59.309 --> 00:13:00.669
The progressive history had,

446
00:13:00.780 --> 00:13:00.909
you know,

447
00:13:00.989 --> 00:13:01.460
it really,

448
00:13:01.590 --> 00:13:02.419
I thought for sure.

449
00:13:03.140 --> 00:13:03.299
Uh,

450
00:13:03.419 --> 00:13:04.239
Hong was gonna win.

451
00:13:04.340 --> 00:13:04.619
Uh,

452
00:13:04.739 --> 00:13:05.000
and,

453
00:13:05.059 --> 00:13:05.609
uh,

454
00:13:05.739 --> 00:13:06.140
you know,

455
00:13:06.419 --> 00:13:06.650
again,

456
00:13:06.890 --> 00:13:08.119
the First Amendment of our Constitution,

457
00:13:08.260 --> 00:13:09.020
a sure thing,

458
00:13:09.219 --> 00:13:10.559
always has air quotes.

459
00:13:11.140 --> 00:13:11.260
Very,

460
00:13:11.349 --> 00:13:11.820
very true.

461
00:13:12.140 --> 00:13:12.330
Uh,

462
00:13:12.460 --> 00:13:13.619
Paul Friedman had,

463
00:13:13.659 --> 00:13:14.219
had a different,

464
00:13:14.340 --> 00:13:14.500
uh,

465
00:13:14.820 --> 00:13:15.190
opportunity,

466
00:13:15.270 --> 00:13:15.289
uh,

467
00:13:15.380 --> 00:13:15.700
last night.

468
00:13:15.780 --> 00:13:17.969
He says he cashed out on Crowley and Hong.

469
00:13:18.250 --> 00:13:19.119
He won on both.

470
00:13:19.380 --> 00:13:19.960
Great night,

471
00:13:19.969 --> 00:13:24.280
and he paid for the predictable show premium subscription for the rest of the year.

472
00:13:24.539 --> 00:13:25.739
Congratulations to Paul.

473
00:13:25.820 --> 00:13:26.650
That is awesome.

474
00:13:27.010 --> 00:13:28.599
Rob didn't do as well.

475
00:13:28.780 --> 00:13:31.179
He says he took a bath on Lindell and Norman.

476
00:13:31.260 --> 00:13:31.679
No,

477
00:13:31.979 --> 00:13:32.419
but I hope I got.

478
00:13:32.530 --> 00:13:34.049
Enough smalls out there to make up for it.

479
00:13:34.289 --> 00:13:35.330
Did well on Sanford.

480
00:13:35.450 --> 00:13:35.650
No,

481
00:13:35.809 --> 00:13:36.090
that was a,

482
00:13:36.169 --> 00:13:36.599
that's a,

483
00:13:36.770 --> 00:13:38.409
a good position actually recommended by

484
00:13:38.409 --> 00:13:40.909
someone in the predictable show.com community,

485
00:13:41.159 --> 00:13:41.369
uh,

486
00:13:41.530 --> 00:13:41.840
that was,

487
00:13:41.890 --> 00:13:42.099
uh,

488
00:13:42.169 --> 00:13:42.469
having,

489
00:13:42.609 --> 00:13:42.989
uh,

490
00:13:43.010 --> 00:13:43.630
Sanford

491
00:13:43.770 --> 00:13:44.890
to not advance,

492
00:13:44.969 --> 00:13:45.200
uh,

493
00:13:45.289 --> 00:13:46.080
that particular candidate.

494
00:13:47.049 --> 00:13:47.159
Uh,

495
00:13:47.210 --> 00:13:47.849
Stephanie writes,

496
00:13:47.929 --> 00:13:49.080
wiped out on Lindell,

497
00:13:49.210 --> 00:13:51.309
thought about getting out before it started,

498
00:13:51.570 --> 00:13:51.729
uh,

499
00:13:51.809 --> 00:13:53.030
and didn't,

500
00:13:53.369 --> 00:13:53.809
um,

501
00:13:54.049 --> 00:13:54.159
that,

502
00:13:54.250 --> 00:13:55.559
that might apply to,

503
00:13:55.570 --> 00:13:55.809
uh,

504
00:13:55.929 --> 00:13:57.549
we're about to amend the constitution,

505
00:13:57.929 --> 00:13:58.539
not predictable,

506
00:13:58.690 --> 00:13:58.989
OK?

507
00:13:59.169 --> 00:14:00.609
We're about to do that in just moments.

508
00:14:01.210 --> 00:14:02.200
Stay tuned for that,

509
00:14:02.409 --> 00:14:03.799
cause it might have something to do with that last comment.

510
00:14:03.890 --> 00:14:05.039
Catch 451 says,

511
00:14:05.049 --> 00:14:06.289
I bought Crowley Lowe

512
00:14:06.840 --> 00:14:07.349
and,

513
00:14:07.409 --> 00:14:07.869
uh,

514
00:14:07.880 --> 00:14:08.690
sold for a profit.

515
00:14:08.809 --> 00:14:10.070
I should have put a bigger position in.

516
00:14:10.169 --> 00:14:10.609
That's what,

517
00:14:10.770 --> 00:14:11.549
that's how I always feel.

518
00:14:11.650 --> 00:14:14.049
I was talking to someone last night who did big numbers on,

519
00:14:14.090 --> 00:14:14.359
uh,

520
00:14:14.409 --> 00:14:15.369
on the Hong back and forth,

521
00:14:15.409 --> 00:14:15.739
and I was like,

522
00:14:15.770 --> 00:14:15.919
oh,

523
00:14:16.000 --> 00:14:16.469
congratulations,

524
00:14:16.570 --> 00:14:16.919
you did well.

525
00:14:16.960 --> 00:14:17.169
He goes,

526
00:14:17.280 --> 00:14:17.409
yeah,

527
00:14:17.530 --> 00:14:17.869
but I,

528
00:14:18.130 --> 00:14:20.429
I bought it like 4 and I sold at 16.

529
00:14:21.169 --> 00:14:22.250
I only made 4 times my money,

530
00:14:22.289 --> 00:14:23.390
went all the way up to 70.

531
00:14:23.679 --> 00:14:24.039
It's like,

532
00:14:24.270 --> 00:14:24.369
yeah,

533
00:14:24.489 --> 00:14:26.090
you quadrupled your money though.

534
00:14:26.130 --> 00:14:26.330
I mean,

535
00:14:26.369 --> 00:14:26.650
like,

536
00:14:26.969 --> 00:14:28.280
that is part of the story there.

537
00:14:28.559 --> 00:14:29.929
Usually something you'd be happy about,

538
00:14:30.010 --> 00:14:30.260
but

539
00:14:30.719 --> 00:14:31.890
It's really hard at times,

540
00:14:31.929 --> 00:14:32.440
honestly,

541
00:14:32.530 --> 00:14:34.469
to celebrate those wins even when they come along.

542
00:14:35.010 --> 00:14:35.650
When you have them,

543
00:14:35.849 --> 00:14:36.549
celebrate them

544
00:14:36.729 --> 00:14:37.890
because they're not always there,

545
00:14:38.010 --> 00:14:38.330
as,

546
00:14:38.369 --> 00:14:38.619
uh,

547
00:14:38.690 --> 00:14:39.669
some people found out.

548
00:14:40.030 --> 00:14:41.190
I'm not gonna say names.

549
00:14:41.330 --> 00:14:41.520
Um,

550
00:14:41.570 --> 00:14:42.849
Idaho handyman writes,

551
00:14:42.929 --> 00:14:46.400
made almost 1,700% on Hang Crowley.

552
00:14:46.590 --> 00:14:48.840
Roller coaster and my anxiety was through the roof.

553
00:14:48.849 --> 00:14:50.109
I will say it was a little stressful.

554
00:14:50.330 --> 00:14:51.030
Stressful,

555
00:14:51.570 --> 00:14:52.049
but fun.

556
00:14:53.109 --> 00:14:53.619
Until

557
00:14:54.280 --> 00:14:54.559
today.

558
00:14:55.479 --> 00:14:56.520
When I went upstairs,

559
00:14:56.530 --> 00:14:57.989
and we in my office upstairs,

560
00:14:58.250 --> 00:15:00.710
and before we do these shows of like the review

561
00:15:00.969 --> 00:15:02.289
of what our positions were.

562
00:15:03.010 --> 00:15:06.250
I go upstairs and I write them all down on a fancy note card,

563
00:15:06.460 --> 00:15:06.739
OK?

564
00:15:06.859 --> 00:15:08.090
And I write it on every single one,

565
00:15:08.140 --> 00:15:09.840
and what I write is I write the name

566
00:15:10.059 --> 00:15:11.200
and what race it was,

567
00:15:11.460 --> 00:15:12.369
and then I,

568
00:15:12.380 --> 00:15:12.690
uh,

569
00:15:12.700 --> 00:15:14.059
write a check mark or an X,

570
00:15:14.140 --> 00:15:17.320
so I can remember whether I got it right or whether I got it wrong.

571
00:15:17.940 --> 00:15:18.919
So let me give you

572
00:15:19.419 --> 00:15:20.599
every single position

573
00:15:20.700 --> 00:15:22.140
I took in last night's election.

574
00:15:24.809 --> 00:15:25.929
Wisconsin 04,

575
00:15:26.349 --> 00:15:26.700
Democrat,

576
00:15:26.710 --> 00:15:27.190
Moore.

577
00:15:27.710 --> 00:15:29.840
We wanted yes and we got that correct.

578
00:15:30.229 --> 00:15:34.130
Minnesota uh rep uh Republican Senate nomination.

579
00:15:34.190 --> 00:15:36.549
This is one we talked about for a couple of months beforehand.

580
00:15:36.789 --> 00:15:37.549
Michelle Tafoya,

581
00:15:37.659 --> 00:15:38.349
we were high on her,

582
00:15:38.500 --> 00:15:40.429
made a very nice profit on Michelle Tafoya.

583
00:15:40.859 --> 00:15:41.479
Yes,

584
00:15:41.700 --> 00:15:42.380
that was correct.

585
00:15:42.580 --> 00:15:44.140
And we also had some no positions there.

586
00:15:44.380 --> 00:15:44.619
York,

587
00:15:44.859 --> 00:15:45.119
no,

588
00:15:45.380 --> 00:15:45.700
correct.

589
00:15:46.030 --> 00:15:46.500
Schwartz,

590
00:15:46.580 --> 00:15:46.859
no,

591
00:15:47.179 --> 00:15:47.400
correct,

592
00:15:47.690 --> 00:15:48.260
and White,

593
00:15:48.460 --> 00:15:48.750
no,

594
00:15:49.099 --> 00:15:49.359
correct.

595
00:15:49.700 --> 00:15:50.700
Connecticut 01,

596
00:15:50.820 --> 00:15:52.250
we had uh Bronin,

597
00:15:52.419 --> 00:15:52.900
yes,

598
00:15:52.969 --> 00:15:53.859
and we won that.

599
00:15:54.099 --> 00:15:55.049
Wisconsin 07,

600
00:15:55.099 --> 00:15:56.039
we had Eben.

601
00:15:56.460 --> 00:15:59.020
Now this was an interesting position because it was a latter position.

602
00:15:59.059 --> 00:15:59.700
You'll notice this,

603
00:15:59.780 --> 00:16:00.820
we do this from time to time.

604
00:16:01.049 --> 00:16:01.780
We'll buy something very,

605
00:16:01.859 --> 00:16:02.359
very cheap,

606
00:16:02.700 --> 00:16:03.419
and we will sell.

607
00:16:03.530 --> 00:16:04.950
Out of it almost immediately.

608
00:16:05.130 --> 00:16:06.049
On this particular case,

609
00:16:06.130 --> 00:16:07.739
I bought Eben at 1 cent

610
00:16:08.090 --> 00:16:08.599
and sold,

611
00:16:08.690 --> 00:16:08.849
uh,

612
00:16:08.919 --> 00:16:09.330
sold.

613
00:16:09.409 --> 00:16:09.570
I mean,

614
00:16:09.609 --> 00:16:11.289
I feel weird selling I sold her

615
00:16:11.450 --> 00:16:12.549
because then I feel like a

616
00:16:12.929 --> 00:16:13.590
trafficker.

617
00:16:13.809 --> 00:16:13.880
Uh,

618
00:16:13.940 --> 00:16:14.130
but no,

619
00:16:14.200 --> 00:16:14.409
I just,

620
00:16:14.489 --> 00:16:15.750
I sold her contracts,

621
00:16:15.929 --> 00:16:16.210
uh,

622
00:16:16.250 --> 00:16:18.440
at 2 and 3 and 4 or something like that.

623
00:16:18.530 --> 00:16:22.260
I was up a total of about 55 to 5,

624
00:16:22.270 --> 00:16:24.530
55 or 55% or 56%.

625
00:16:24.570 --> 00:16:25.400
I can't quite read my writing,

626
00:16:25.460 --> 00:16:26.250
but it was right around there.

627
00:16:26.609 --> 00:16:26.799
Uh,

628
00:16:26.900 --> 00:16:28.419
on a latter position as I got out of that,

629
00:16:28.500 --> 00:16:29.270
so it was profitable,

630
00:16:29.419 --> 00:16:30.049
though she did not win,

631
00:16:30.099 --> 00:16:31.250
but that was a profitable trade.

632
00:16:31.330 --> 00:16:31.719
Yes.

633
00:16:32.020 --> 00:16:32.289
Uh,

634
00:16:32.580 --> 00:16:32.739
uh,

635
00:16:32.820 --> 00:16:33.460
Ehrmanning,

636
00:16:33.739 --> 00:16:34.140
no,

637
00:16:34.260 --> 00:16:35.500
which was also correct.

638
00:16:35.780 --> 00:16:36.179
Wisconsin,

639
00:16:36.190 --> 00:16:36.739
03,

640
00:16:36.900 --> 00:16:37.340
Burge,

641
00:16:37.739 --> 00:16:38.059
Democrat,

642
00:16:38.500 --> 00:16:38.890
no,

643
00:16:39.059 --> 00:16:39.700
that was correct.

644
00:16:40.020 --> 00:16:40.219
Cook,

645
00:16:40.409 --> 00:16:40.859
yes,

646
00:16:41.020 --> 00:16:41.700
that was correct.

647
00:16:41.940 --> 00:16:42.340
Minnesota,

648
00:16:42.349 --> 00:16:42.820
08,

649
00:16:43.099 --> 00:16:43.780
Gulbranson,

650
00:16:44.039 --> 00:16:44.630
no.

651
00:16:44.969 --> 00:16:46.010
That was correct.

652
00:16:46.210 --> 00:16:46.729
Swanson,

653
00:16:46.849 --> 00:16:47.559
yes,

654
00:16:47.849 --> 00:16:48.690
that was correct.

655
00:16:49.049 --> 00:16:50.169
Minnesota Democrat governor,

656
00:16:50.239 --> 00:16:50.450
of course,

657
00:16:50.530 --> 00:16:51.090
Klobuchar,

658
00:16:51.169 --> 00:16:51.729
easy one.

659
00:16:52.030 --> 00:16:53.409
I can't give myself too much credit on that one,

660
00:16:53.489 --> 00:16:54.590
but we did have that and,

661
00:16:54.609 --> 00:16:54.760
uh,

662
00:16:54.770 --> 00:16:55.820
had a pretty big position in it.

663
00:16:55.929 --> 00:16:56.150
So,

664
00:16:56.289 --> 00:16:56.450
you know,

665
00:16:56.690 --> 00:16:58.049
a couple percent here help.

666
00:16:58.390 --> 00:16:58.440
Uh,

667
00:16:58.450 --> 00:17:00.510
we got a yes on that one as well.

668
00:17:00.809 --> 00:17:01.010
Uh,

669
00:17:01.130 --> 00:17:04.209
Vermont Republican Governor Scott,

670
00:17:04.319 --> 00:17:05.290
kind of the same story.

671
00:17:05.410 --> 00:17:05.650
Yes,

672
00:17:05.760 --> 00:17:06.670
that was correct.

673
00:17:07.500 --> 00:17:07.920
Can I remind you,

674
00:17:07.969 --> 00:17:08.250
by the way,

675
00:17:08.319 --> 00:17:09.410
if you're a premium tier subscriber,

676
00:17:09.449 --> 00:17:10.550
you get all these picks

677
00:17:10.760 --> 00:17:11.319
ahead of time.

678
00:17:11.650 --> 00:17:14.608
Got a database of over 200 of them that are listed on the website.

679
00:17:14.880 --> 00:17:16.400
And we give you a bunch in the chat.

680
00:17:16.598 --> 00:17:17.640
A bunch of these were in there.

681
00:17:17.890 --> 00:17:18.680
Vermont

682
00:17:19.060 --> 00:17:20.118
Democrat Governor Richards,

683
00:17:20.239 --> 00:17:20.719
no,

684
00:17:21.079 --> 00:17:21.420
correct.

685
00:17:21.719 --> 00:17:21.829
Jane,

686
00:17:22.560 --> 00:17:22.839
yes,

687
00:17:22.959 --> 00:17:24.670
did very well on that particular market.

688
00:17:25.640 --> 00:17:26.510
You might be saying right now,

689
00:17:26.640 --> 00:17:26.800
gosh,

690
00:17:26.839 --> 00:17:28.219
this doesn't seem that frustrating.

691
00:17:28.400 --> 00:17:30.119
Everything seems to be going swimmingly,

692
00:17:30.219 --> 00:17:30.550
doesn't it?

693
00:17:30.569 --> 00:17:31.479
It does seem that way,

694
00:17:31.540 --> 00:17:31.890
doesn't it?

695
00:17:32.130 --> 00:17:32.989
Minnesota 05,

696
00:17:33.079 --> 00:17:33.479
Omar,

697
00:17:33.599 --> 00:17:34.150
Elon Omar,

698
00:17:34.260 --> 00:17:34.359
again,

699
00:17:34.479 --> 00:17:35.199
another small profit,

700
00:17:35.280 --> 00:17:36.060
but we'll take it.

701
00:17:36.290 --> 00:17:36.719
Yes.

702
00:17:37.040 --> 00:17:38.040
Minnesota Democrat,

703
00:17:38.199 --> 00:17:38.469
uh,

704
00:17:38.640 --> 00:17:39.800
Senator Flanagan,

705
00:17:39.920 --> 00:17:40.579
yes.

706
00:17:40.949 --> 00:17:41.380
Correct.

707
00:17:42.910 --> 00:17:46.459
We did another latter philosophy with Minnesota Represent uh excuse me,

708
00:17:46.880 --> 00:17:48.520
Republican Governor Quals.

709
00:17:48.800 --> 00:17:51.329
Bought him at 0.3%,

710
00:17:51.680 --> 00:17:55.760
sold almost immediately half my shares at 0.6%,

711
00:17:55.869 --> 00:17:57.069
so that paid for the trade,

712
00:17:57.319 --> 00:17:59.079
and then laddered up a few more profits.

713
00:17:59.319 --> 00:17:59.640
We were up,

714
00:17:59.680 --> 00:17:59.910
I think,

715
00:17:59.920 --> 00:18:01.540
30 or 40% on that trade.

716
00:18:01.680 --> 00:18:02.619
We're happy with that,

717
00:18:02.880 --> 00:18:03.040
very,

718
00:18:03.119 --> 00:18:03.819
very happy.

719
00:18:04.239 --> 00:18:05.000
That was a yes.

720
00:18:06.160 --> 00:18:06.510
Uh,

721
00:18:06.640 --> 00:18:07.439
Mike Lindell,

722
00:18:08.069 --> 00:18:08.479
interesting story.

723
00:18:08.680 --> 00:18:08.780
Uh,

724
00:18:08.839 --> 00:18:09.599
Mike Lindell,

725
00:18:09.760 --> 00:18:09.880
uh,

726
00:18:09.979 --> 00:18:12.520
we were profitable on him as a no position.

727
00:18:12.589 --> 00:18:13.800
We took that at 70,

728
00:18:14.040 --> 00:18:14.189
uh,

729
00:18:14.239 --> 00:18:14.359
or,

730
00:18:14.439 --> 00:18:16.819
or took it at 30 and rode it up to 70 on the no.

731
00:18:17.239 --> 00:18:17.469
Uh,

732
00:18:17.560 --> 00:18:19.420
and then took a little slice of that profit

733
00:18:19.560 --> 00:18:20.880
and went back in on Lindell.

734
00:18:20.959 --> 00:18:21.280
Yes,

735
00:18:21.359 --> 00:18:22.739
I thought he was underpriced yesterday.

736
00:18:22.800 --> 00:18:23.550
He wound up losing,

737
00:18:23.760 --> 00:18:24.420
but overall,

738
00:18:24.640 --> 00:18:25.339
both trades

739
00:18:25.439 --> 00:18:26.760
on Lindell profitable,

740
00:18:26.880 --> 00:18:28.040
so that's a checkmark.

741
00:18:29.930 --> 00:18:31.839
Brad Smith in Wisconsin 06.

742
00:18:32.719 --> 00:18:33.300
Yes,

743
00:18:33.640 --> 00:18:34.319
we got that one right,

744
00:18:34.400 --> 00:18:35.640
very narrow election.

745
00:18:35.920 --> 00:18:36.719
Got that one right.

746
00:18:37.569 --> 00:18:38.660
Connecticut 05,

747
00:18:39.479 --> 00:18:40.030
Republican Shea,

748
00:18:40.209 --> 00:18:40.709
yes.

749
00:18:41.579 --> 00:18:42.239
Got that correct.

750
00:18:44.969 --> 00:18:45.979
South Carolina,

751
00:18:46.569 --> 00:18:47.229
Republican Senate,

752
00:18:47.329 --> 00:18:47.890
Yvette,

753
00:18:48.089 --> 00:18:48.660
no.

754
00:18:49.089 --> 00:18:49.390
Correct.

755
00:18:49.890 --> 00:18:50.410
Fry,

756
00:18:50.689 --> 00:18:51.209
no,

757
00:18:51.530 --> 00:18:51.930
correct.

758
00:18:52.290 --> 00:18:52.930
Gowdy,

759
00:18:53.250 --> 00:18:53.910
no.

760
00:18:54.410 --> 00:18:54.930
Correct.

761
00:18:57.400 --> 00:18:59.420
South Carolina advanced to the next round.

762
00:18:59.719 --> 00:19:00.319
Sanford,

763
00:19:00.520 --> 00:19:01.140
no.

764
00:19:01.719 --> 00:19:02.030
Did very,

765
00:19:02.079 --> 00:19:02.719
very well on that,

766
00:19:02.790 --> 00:19:04.939
thanks to whoever that subscriber was who recommended

767
00:19:05.079 --> 00:19:05.839
that particular market,

768
00:19:05.920 --> 00:19:07.020
did very well on that one,

769
00:19:07.520 --> 00:19:08.839
and that was also correct.

770
00:19:09.880 --> 00:19:11.339
Connecticut Governor,

771
00:19:11.359 --> 00:19:12.239
Democrat Lamont,

772
00:19:12.319 --> 00:19:12.869
an easy one,

773
00:19:12.920 --> 00:19:13.719
but yes,

774
00:19:14.160 --> 00:19:14.599
correct.

775
00:19:15.930 --> 00:19:16.949
We did miss

776
00:19:17.329 --> 00:19:18.589
on whether Norman would,

777
00:19:18.849 --> 00:19:19.010
would,

778
00:19:19.089 --> 00:19:19.280
uh,

779
00:19:19.369 --> 00:19:19.630
would,

780
00:19:19.650 --> 00:19:20.000
uh,

781
00:19:20.010 --> 00:19:20.510
advance.

782
00:19:20.839 --> 00:19:23.130
Took a small position later on in the election,

783
00:19:23.250 --> 00:19:24.310
so that one was wrong.

784
00:19:24.729 --> 00:19:25.369
And you might be saying,

785
00:19:25.489 --> 00:19:25.689
gosh,

786
00:19:25.770 --> 00:19:26.109
that,

787
00:19:26.290 --> 00:19:27.530
and the Norman thing aside,

788
00:19:27.609 --> 00:19:28.670
that was a pretty good night.

789
00:19:31.449 --> 00:19:32.829
Lots and lots of wins there,

790
00:19:33.130 --> 00:19:34.069
boys and girls.

791
00:19:34.760 --> 00:19:35.579
And that's true.

792
00:19:37.790 --> 00:19:39.719
But there's one race I didn't mention yet.

793
00:19:40.859 --> 00:19:42.319
One race on my sheet.

794
00:19:42.739 --> 00:19:43.319
It doesn't mention it.

795
00:19:43.329 --> 00:19:43.770
It's right up here,

796
00:19:43.859 --> 00:19:44.439
right at the top.

797
00:19:45.319 --> 00:19:45.599
Mhm.

798
00:19:47.709 --> 00:19:49.729
Wisconsin Democratic governor.

799
00:19:50.750 --> 00:19:51.469
Hong

800
00:19:53.810 --> 00:19:54.930
I said yes

801
00:19:57.079 --> 00:19:58.849
I don't know if you've heard the news,

802
00:19:59.280 --> 00:20:00.459
but she lost.

803
00:20:01.329 --> 00:20:04.170
Despite being up in the polls by 20 points.

804
00:20:05.030 --> 00:20:06.790
Despite being a progressive.

805
00:20:07.670 --> 00:20:12.810
In a series of races where we've seen progressives win and win and win and win and win,

806
00:20:13.150 --> 00:20:14.290
despite it occurring

807
00:20:14.709 --> 00:20:17.790
in the birthplace of American progressivism.

808
00:20:21.150 --> 00:20:21.859
She lost

809
00:20:23.969 --> 00:20:26.489
Now I had bought in at a very good price

810
00:20:26.849 --> 00:20:28.630
on our good friend,

811
00:20:29.239 --> 00:20:29.910
Francesca

812
00:20:30.069 --> 00:20:30.569
Hong.

813
00:20:31.449 --> 00:20:33.469
I thought it was an incredible price.

814
00:20:33.770 --> 00:20:37.319
I had bought in at an average of 77 cents.

815
00:20:37.530 --> 00:20:38.599
77%?

816
00:20:38.969 --> 00:20:39.609
Ride that up,

817
00:20:39.729 --> 00:20:42.319
23% profit on a 77% investment,

818
00:20:42.369 --> 00:20:43.050
you're talking what?

819
00:20:43.969 --> 00:20:47.089
30% profits on something that a lot of people,

820
00:20:47.189 --> 00:20:48.510
a lot of people were calling

821
00:20:49.300 --> 00:20:50.170
a sure thing.

822
00:20:50.979 --> 00:20:53.650
And if you remember me talking to you about this race,

823
00:20:53.750 --> 00:20:54.709
there were many,

824
00:20:54.910 --> 00:20:56.209
many times,

825
00:20:56.709 --> 00:20:57.910
cause you go into that race and you say,

826
00:20:57.989 --> 00:20:58.150
OK,

827
00:20:58.229 --> 00:20:59.449
this looks like she's gonna win,

828
00:20:59.979 --> 00:21:01.010
and she starts dropping,

829
00:21:01.420 --> 00:21:01.670
and you say,

830
00:21:01.709 --> 00:21:01.829
oh,

831
00:21:01.959 --> 00:21:03.229
maybe this is what's going on,

832
00:21:03.270 --> 00:21:04.020
you're not sure.

833
00:21:04.270 --> 00:21:07.209
And then it settles into a normal sort of race,

834
00:21:07.910 --> 00:21:08.260
where you're like,

835
00:21:08.329 --> 00:21:08.750
wait a minute,

836
00:21:08.859 --> 00:21:10.109
now I understand what this is.

837
00:21:10.229 --> 00:21:12.290
This is not the blowout that we expected.

838
00:21:12.500 --> 00:21:13.430
This is a very,

839
00:21:13.510 --> 00:21:14.449
very close race.

840
00:21:16.359 --> 00:21:17.979
This is a race that could go either way.

841
00:21:19.050 --> 00:21:21.390
The rest of the night has been going very well.

842
00:21:21.969 --> 00:21:23.510
Maybe I should consider

843
00:21:23.890 --> 00:21:26.869
when Francesca Hong gets up to 75 cents,

844
00:21:26.969 --> 00:21:27.489
let's say,

845
00:21:27.609 --> 00:21:28.569
just selling.

846
00:21:29.510 --> 00:21:33.150
All my shares for a little bit less of a profit.

847
00:21:34.349 --> 00:21:36.199
Perhaps you might think to yourself,

848
00:21:36.510 --> 00:21:39.729
what about the time that she got ahead in the actual vote count?

849
00:21:41.060 --> 00:21:42.569
Why not at that point,

850
00:21:42.979 --> 00:21:43.699
sell your shares?

851
00:21:43.760 --> 00:21:45.699
Maybe it's 65 or 70.

852
00:21:48.400 --> 00:21:49.050
But no,

853
00:21:49.410 --> 00:21:49.489
no,

854
00:21:49.569 --> 00:21:49.680
no,

855
00:21:49.770 --> 00:21:49.890
no,

856
00:21:50.010 --> 00:21:50.869
boys and girls.

857
00:21:52.099 --> 00:21:53.800
I went down with the ship.

858
00:21:54.300 --> 00:21:56.800
I took that 77 cents,

859
00:21:57.020 --> 00:21:59.130
and I took it down through 70 and 60,

860
00:21:59.140 --> 00:21:59.770
and 50,

861
00:21:59.780 --> 00:22:00.819
and 40 and 30,

862
00:22:00.839 --> 00:22:01.979
and then back up to 70,

863
00:22:02.020 --> 00:22:03.140
and then back down to 20,

864
00:22:03.150 --> 00:22:04.339
and then back up to 70.

865
00:22:05.530 --> 00:22:06.400
All over the place,

866
00:22:06.410 --> 00:22:07.750
and you know where it wound up?

867
00:22:08.050 --> 00:22:09.869
A big fat

868
00:22:10.209 --> 00:22:11.040
0.

869
00:22:11.369 --> 00:22:12.829
That's where it wound up,

870
00:22:13.609 --> 00:22:14.839
0%,

871
00:22:15.130 --> 00:22:18.250
because all that time I kept thinking she's gotta be able to pull this off.

872
00:22:18.329 --> 00:22:19.869
I talked about it on the stream.

873
00:22:21.060 --> 00:22:22.569
I was a little distracted by streaming,

874
00:22:22.619 --> 00:22:24.400
but that's no excuse whatsoever.

875
00:22:24.939 --> 00:22:27.599
I took that puppy all the way from 77 cents,

876
00:22:27.770 --> 00:22:28.400
and I,

877
00:22:28.619 --> 00:22:29.560
like a man,

878
00:22:30.060 --> 00:22:33.060
took it all the way to 0 and wiped out tons

879
00:22:33.060 --> 00:22:34.939
of the profit that I made in all these other markets.

880
00:22:35.020 --> 00:22:35.520
In fact,

881
00:22:36.719 --> 00:22:40.420
I wiped out most of the profit that I made in these other markets,

882
00:22:41.000 --> 00:22:41.420
including

883
00:22:42.239 --> 00:22:45.439
a long-time position that I had made a bunch on on Michelle Tafoya.

884
00:22:45.640 --> 00:22:48.380
I basically threw it to the wolves.

885
00:22:49.540 --> 00:22:50.839
The truth is

886
00:22:51.380 --> 00:22:52.920
I held my hong too long.

887
00:22:59.040 --> 00:22:59.699
I got

888
00:23:01.729 --> 00:23:02.869
I got stuck

889
00:23:03.089 --> 00:23:04.609
with my hong in my hand.

890
00:23:06.869 --> 00:23:07.380
And it's very,

891
00:23:07.439 --> 00:23:08.310
very disappointing.

892
00:23:11.859 --> 00:23:13.479
I experienced shrinkage

893
00:23:13.619 --> 00:23:14.939
in my hong position.

894
00:23:17.900 --> 00:23:19.270
And I mismeasured my hung.

895
00:23:23.449 --> 00:23:24.560
And that's why

896
00:23:25.000 --> 00:23:27.599
today we amend the constitution

897
00:23:27.979 --> 00:23:28.560
of

898
00:23:28.939 --> 00:23:30.380
predictable with stew.

899
00:23:38.599 --> 00:23:40.359
It is time to add

900
00:23:40.719 --> 00:23:43.219
the 17th Amendment to the Constitution,

901
00:23:43.579 --> 00:23:45.540
a lesson I had to learn

902
00:23:45.880 --> 00:23:47.479
with a big punch in the hong.

903
00:23:48.959 --> 00:23:51.160
The 17th Amendment to the Constitution

904
00:23:51.439 --> 00:23:53.839
shall forevermore be known.

905
00:23:54.680 --> 00:23:55.380
As this

906
00:23:56.109 --> 00:23:57.680
A smaller loss.

907
00:23:58.400 --> 00:24:00.160
Is a win.

908
00:24:01.140 --> 00:24:04.199
A smaller loss is a win.

909
00:24:04.380 --> 00:24:06.959
I could have come out of that freaking night

910
00:24:07.339 --> 00:24:09.800
with one of the best nights of the entire election.

911
00:24:10.140 --> 00:24:11.560
I could have come out of that night

912
00:24:11.660 --> 00:24:14.839
with one of the most profitable nights of the entire

913
00:24:15.839 --> 00:24:18.040
Run we've had so far here at Predictable.

914
00:24:18.920 --> 00:24:19.500
And instead,

915
00:24:19.640 --> 00:24:21.459
I came out with a middling

916
00:24:21.959 --> 00:24:22.800
mush.

917
00:24:23.829 --> 00:24:24.349
That's what I,

918
00:24:24.510 --> 00:24:26.030
that's what happened to me.

919
00:24:26.469 --> 00:24:26.989
Where's the thing?

920
00:24:27.140 --> 00:24:27.349
Let me,

921
00:24:27.439 --> 00:24:28.430
let me give me the card again.

922
00:24:29.719 --> 00:24:30.500
Last night

923
00:24:31.390 --> 00:24:31.400
In

924
00:24:31.869 --> 00:24:32.849
this election,

925
00:24:33.270 --> 00:24:36.229
I went 27 and 2.

926
00:24:37.180 --> 00:24:41.439
I went 27 and 2,

927
00:24:41.859 --> 00:24:43.400
and I'm complaining

928
00:24:43.819 --> 00:24:44.439
because I

929
00:24:44.660 --> 00:24:46.319
oversized my

930
00:24:47.239 --> 00:24:47.260
huh.

931
00:24:51.079 --> 00:24:51.760
Oversized,

932
00:24:51.880 --> 00:24:53.180
I went magnum.

933
00:24:53.599 --> 00:24:54.859
I didn't need magnum.

934
00:24:55.359 --> 00:24:56.430
I went magnum.

935
00:24:58.250 --> 00:24:59.109
With my hong

936
00:25:00.579 --> 00:25:05.349
And then I wrote it all the way down instead of selling at 75,

937
00:25:05.660 --> 00:25:06.540
or 70,

938
00:25:06.660 --> 00:25:07.619
or 65,

939
00:25:07.650 --> 00:25:08.300
or 60,

940
00:25:08.310 --> 00:25:09.099
or 50.

941
00:25:09.849 --> 00:25:11.109
I could have

942
00:25:11.410 --> 00:25:16.530
erased a giant loss from my ledger that wiped out tons of the profit

943
00:25:16.530 --> 00:25:19.109
that I made in other great picks from the rest of the night,

944
00:25:19.650 --> 00:25:20.709
but I didn't do that.

945
00:25:21.619 --> 00:25:23.920
So now I have to amend the constitution,

946
00:25:24.300 --> 00:25:25.459
and I have to make it

947
00:25:25.640 --> 00:25:27.319
an annoying odd number,

948
00:25:27.780 --> 00:25:28.880
but this is what happens

949
00:25:29.140 --> 00:25:30.000
unpredictable list too.

950
00:25:30.060 --> 00:25:31.050
When we learn lessons,

951
00:25:31.219 --> 00:25:33.400
we amend the constitution so we don't

952
00:25:33.859 --> 00:25:35.119
smash our face

953
00:25:35.420 --> 00:25:36.920
the next time this goes on.

954
00:25:37.380 --> 00:25:39.650
So I hope you enjoyed watching the stream last night and,

955
00:25:39.939 --> 00:25:41.449
and watching me kind of unknowingly.

956
00:25:41.500 --> 00:25:43.140
I didn't really realize it was happening at the time,

957
00:25:43.219 --> 00:25:43.449
but it,

958
00:25:43.459 --> 00:25:44.140
it happened.

959
00:25:45.910 --> 00:25:46.930
I lost my hong.

960
00:25:47.229 --> 00:25:48.510
I went 27 and 2,

961
00:25:48.709 --> 00:25:50.810
and the 17th Amendment to the Constitution is

962
00:25:50.939 --> 00:25:52.569
a smaller loss

963
00:25:53.030 --> 00:25:53.910
is a win.

964
00:25:56.579 --> 00:25:57.250
OK.

965
00:25:57.579 --> 00:25:58.699
That was quite an evening.

966
00:25:58.949 --> 00:26:00.510
We have more to come on the show.

967
00:26:00.670 --> 00:26:01.310
Join us,

968
00:26:01.589 --> 00:26:01.709
uh,

969
00:26:01.790 --> 00:26:01.890
uh,

970
00:26:01.949 --> 00:26:02.689
if nothing else,

971
00:26:03.189 --> 00:26:04.560
for the hong puns,

972
00:26:04.910 --> 00:26:07.390
but everything else that's offered on PredictableShow.com.

973
00:26:07.520 --> 00:26:07.630
Man,

974
00:26:07.709 --> 00:26:08.790
what a fun community this is.

975
00:26:08.869 --> 00:26:10.500
It's a great group of people who are really,

976
00:26:10.550 --> 00:26:12.729
really smart and probably could have told me that.

977
00:26:13.130 --> 00:26:13.140
Before

978
00:26:14.569 --> 00:26:16.160
I amended the constitution,

979
00:26:16.489 --> 00:26:18.500
they probably stayed out of the way of that mistake.

980
00:26:18.729 --> 00:26:19.449
I didn't,

981
00:26:19.719 --> 00:26:21.189
but I'm going to be honest with you,

982
00:26:21.390 --> 00:26:23.630
when I smashed my face into a wall.

983
00:26:23.890 --> 00:26:24.170
All right,

984
00:26:24.290 --> 00:26:25.209
predictableShow.com.

985
00:26:25.329 --> 00:26:25.770
Join us there,

986
00:26:25.849 --> 00:26:26.469
back in a second.

987
00:26:33.959 --> 00:26:35.500
Welcome back to Predictable

988
00:26:35.729 --> 00:26:36.390
with Stu.

989
00:26:36.430 --> 00:26:37.640
I wanna bring on Brenton Evans.

990
00:26:37.719 --> 00:26:39.839
He is the president of Predictable Media.

991
00:26:39.959 --> 00:26:40.839
What a title.

992
00:26:41.000 --> 00:26:41.550
What a title.

993
00:26:41.599 --> 00:26:43.699
And he joined me for the live stream last night,

994
00:26:44.069 --> 00:26:44.300
uh,

995
00:26:44.439 --> 00:26:45.189
watching the,

996
00:26:45.199 --> 00:26:45.550
uh,

997
00:26:45.560 --> 00:26:46.819
whole Hong mania

998
00:26:47.319 --> 00:26:47.719
go down.

999
00:26:47.800 --> 00:26:50.380
You actually did way better than I did in this particular,

1000
00:26:50.560 --> 00:26:51.140
uh,

1001
00:26:51.280 --> 00:26:51.520
election,

1002
00:26:51.750 --> 00:26:52.040
Brent.

1003
00:26:52.119 --> 00:26:52.300
I mean,

1004
00:26:52.319 --> 00:26:52.670
it was,

1005
00:26:53.000 --> 00:26:53.250
uh,

1006
00:26:53.319 --> 00:26:53.560
it was,

1007
00:26:53.640 --> 00:26:55.530
it was frankly annoying to hear your success.

1008
00:26:57.420 --> 00:26:57.800
Yes,

1009
00:26:57.859 --> 00:26:58.239
I mean,

1010
00:26:58.699 --> 00:27:00.130
I was just honking around all night,

1011
00:27:00.339 --> 00:27:00.530
just,

1012
00:27:00.579 --> 00:27:02.119
just waiting for my profits.

1013
00:27:02.839 --> 00:27:03.420
Uh,

1014
00:27:03.560 --> 00:27:04.709
I will say that.

1015
00:27:05.510 --> 00:27:07.050
Just like you had the

1016
00:27:07.270 --> 00:27:09.209
magnificent rundown of things,

1017
00:27:09.270 --> 00:27:10.290
I felt

1018
00:27:11.030 --> 00:27:12.489
great about everything

1019
00:27:13.030 --> 00:27:13.369
until

1020
00:27:13.989 --> 00:27:14.569
Mike

1021
00:27:15.150 --> 00:27:16.869
Little Hong Lindell,

1022
00:27:17.430 --> 00:27:17.989
cause he's,

1023
00:27:18.119 --> 00:27:20.310
he's a loser just like Hong was.

1024
00:27:20.670 --> 00:27:21.589
He's the little Hong.

1025
00:27:22.380 --> 00:27:23.739
He just killed all my profits,

1026
00:27:23.910 --> 00:27:24.729
so I am,

1027
00:27:25.349 --> 00:27:25.579
I'm,

1028
00:27:25.699 --> 00:27:27.250
I'm forever going to

1029
00:27:27.709 --> 00:27:28.420
resist the,

1030
00:27:28.430 --> 00:27:28.699
uh,

1031
00:27:28.709 --> 00:27:31.329
the urge to buy my slippers or my pillow

1032
00:27:31.670 --> 00:27:33.699
because of what he did to me in the markets last night.

1033
00:27:33.750 --> 00:27:34.050
But

1034
00:27:34.270 --> 00:27:34.500
just,

1035
00:27:34.589 --> 00:27:35.969
just so I can brag a little bit

1036
00:27:36.229 --> 00:27:36.739
on,

1037
00:27:36.750 --> 00:27:37.140
uh,

1038
00:27:37.219 --> 00:27:38.369
on yesterday because

1039
00:27:38.829 --> 00:27:38.989
I,

1040
00:27:39.069 --> 00:27:39.589
I really,

1041
00:27:39.709 --> 00:27:40.010
and I'll,

1042
00:27:40.069 --> 00:27:40.989
and I'll share my numbers.

1043
00:27:41.069 --> 00:27:42.849
I have no problem with sharing my numbers,

1044
00:27:43.270 --> 00:27:43.770
uh.

1045
00:27:44.770 --> 00:27:46.650
I felt really good about buying.

1046
00:27:47.660 --> 00:27:49.260
Probly at 4 cents,

1047
00:27:49.420 --> 00:27:51.170
1000 shares at 4 cents,

1048
00:27:51.579 --> 00:27:52.739
so around $40.

1049
00:27:54.219 --> 00:27:55.699
I sold it at 12 cents.

1050
00:27:57.109 --> 00:27:58.969
So I should have been happy with that profit.

1051
00:27:59.510 --> 00:28:02.089
I bought more at 15 cents.

1052
00:28:02.760 --> 00:28:04.550
And then more at 18 cents,

1053
00:28:04.920 --> 00:28:07.219
and then I sold all of those at 25 cents.

1054
00:28:07.719 --> 00:28:08.459
It's incredible.

1055
00:28:09.329 --> 00:28:09.689
Right,

1056
00:28:09.810 --> 00:28:10.089
OK,

1057
00:28:10.209 --> 00:28:10.709
hang on.

1058
00:28:11.660 --> 00:28:13.040
Then I bought no

1059
00:28:13.140 --> 00:28:16.439
at 47 cents and 33 cents thinking that he was not gonna win

1060
00:28:17.180 --> 00:28:18.280
and sold those

1061
00:28:18.489 --> 00:28:20.959
and so on Crowley I did fairly well.

1062
00:28:21.859 --> 00:28:23.199
I did well as

1063
00:28:23.420 --> 00:28:24.780
on the home side of things.

1064
00:28:24.819 --> 00:28:27.300
I bought No early on at $3.84

1065
00:28:28.140 --> 00:28:29.170
1000 shares,

1066
00:28:29.380 --> 00:28:30.560
but I went the opposite direction.

1067
00:28:31.099 --> 00:28:31.699
You wouldn't think I,

1068
00:28:31.810 --> 00:28:32.099
you would,

1069
00:28:32.180 --> 00:28:32.920
I would have

1070
00:28:33.500 --> 00:28:35.180
on paper had the best night ever

1071
00:28:35.530 --> 00:28:36.859
if I would have just known.

1072
00:28:37.810 --> 00:28:39.300
But basically in reverse,

1073
00:28:39.310 --> 00:28:40.260
I did the same thing.

1074
00:28:40.339 --> 00:28:41.359
I sold

1075
00:28:41.739 --> 00:28:44.069
the position at 10 cents.

1076
00:28:44.619 --> 00:28:45.969
I sold half of it at 10 cents,

1077
00:28:46.040 --> 00:28:46.819
half of it

1078
00:28:46.989 --> 00:28:47.699
at 12 cents,

1079
00:28:47.739 --> 00:28:48.520
and then I was out.

1080
00:28:48.939 --> 00:28:49.939
Then I bought yes

1081
00:28:50.140 --> 00:28:52.199
at 75 cents thinking she was going to win.

1082
00:28:52.540 --> 00:28:54.560
And then I have 10 more transactions

1083
00:28:54.819 --> 00:28:56.189
where I'm just hanging on to my Hong

1084
00:28:57.099 --> 00:28:57.939
position

1085
00:28:58.189 --> 00:28:59.520
for way too long

1086
00:29:01.170 --> 00:29:01.199
and end up.

1087
00:29:02.189 --> 00:29:03.670
You already listed about 10.

1088
00:29:03.910 --> 00:29:05.109
How many trades did you do?

1089
00:29:06.310 --> 00:29:06.430
Well,

1090
00:29:06.520 --> 00:29:07.750
you were on the live stream with me,

1091
00:29:07.869 --> 00:29:08.219
they were.

1092
00:29:09.869 --> 00:29:10.459
Within,

1093
00:29:11.260 --> 00:29:11.420
you know,

1094
00:29:11.489 --> 00:29:12.890
0.2% points,

1095
00:29:12.900 --> 00:29:13.579
most of the night,

1096
00:29:13.640 --> 00:29:14.439
like it was

1097
00:29:14.579 --> 00:29:16.260
a bizarre topsy-turvy,

1098
00:29:16.380 --> 00:29:16.729
you know,

1099
00:29:17.180 --> 00:29:17.880
what's gonna happen?

1100
00:29:17.939 --> 00:29:18.839
What's coming out of

1101
00:29:19.140 --> 00:29:19.660
Oshkosh,

1102
00:29:19.739 --> 00:29:20.569
what's coming out of,

1103
00:29:20.780 --> 00:29:20.939
you know,

1104
00:29:21.060 --> 00:29:23.170
what other arena part of Wisconsin that's gonna be,

1105
00:29:23.420 --> 00:29:23.579
you know,

1106
00:29:23.660 --> 00:29:23.819
a,

1107
00:29:23.859 --> 00:29:26.489
a surge for Hong or a surge for Crowley,

1108
00:29:26.579 --> 00:29:27.839
but it was a Crowley rally,

1109
00:29:28.300 --> 00:29:29.560
and I just,

1110
00:29:29.739 --> 00:29:30.010
I,

1111
00:29:30.180 --> 00:29:31.000
I ended up.

1112
00:29:31.810 --> 00:29:33.969
21.1%

1113
00:29:34.170 --> 00:29:34.650
ROI,

1114
00:29:34.890 --> 00:29:35.510
so I feel

1115
00:29:36.290 --> 00:29:37.189
like I made out a head,

1116
00:29:37.319 --> 00:29:38.270
but it should have been.

1117
00:29:39.140 --> 00:29:40.739
It should have been such a,

1118
00:29:41.219 --> 00:29:41.300
I,

1119
00:29:41.380 --> 00:29:42.619
I should be feasting tonight.

1120
00:29:42.699 --> 00:29:43.260
I should be,

1121
00:29:43.500 --> 00:29:43.619
you know,

1122
00:29:43.780 --> 00:29:45.209
Dom Perion or something.

1123
00:29:45.540 --> 00:29:47.459
You're just like the other guy I talked about earlier who

1124
00:29:47.619 --> 00:29:48.599
you get upset

1125
00:29:48.709 --> 00:29:51.180
when you make 3 and 4 times your money because

1126
00:29:51.180 --> 00:29:53.079
you could have made 10 or 12 times your money.

1127
00:29:53.380 --> 00:29:53.619
Uh,

1128
00:29:53.739 --> 00:29:54.520
but overall,

1129
00:29:54.619 --> 00:29:55.170
I will tell you,

1130
00:29:55.250 --> 00:29:55.489
Brennan,

1131
00:29:55.609 --> 00:29:57.329
this is someone I can speak to this with,

1132
00:29:57.339 --> 00:29:57.489
uh,

1133
00:29:57.500 --> 00:29:57.729
uh,

1134
00:29:57.739 --> 00:29:58.319
some level

1135
00:29:58.579 --> 00:29:59.589
of expertise.

1136
00:29:59.859 --> 00:30:00.099
Uh,

1137
00:30:00.180 --> 00:30:04.119
plus 21% is better than -100%.

1138
00:30:04.459 --> 00:30:04.849
Um,

1139
00:30:04.939 --> 00:30:06.250
that one I can assure you of

1140
00:30:07.270 --> 00:30:07.280
that.

1141
00:30:08.400 --> 00:30:08.800
So frustrating.

1142
00:30:08.839 --> 00:30:09.900
I won't share with you my

1143
00:30:10.030 --> 00:30:12.530
Mike Lindell numbers because those were terrible and those were,

1144
00:30:12.599 --> 00:30:13.469
those were embarrassing.

1145
00:30:13.760 --> 00:30:14.599
We don't need to know about that.

1146
00:30:14.680 --> 00:30:15.579
We don't need to know about that.

1147
00:30:15.750 --> 00:30:15.949
Um,

1148
00:30:16.079 --> 00:30:16.160
I,

1149
00:30:16.280 --> 00:30:16.339
I,

1150
00:30:16.560 --> 00:30:16.569
you,

1151
00:30:16.760 --> 00:30:17.069
of course,

1152
00:30:17.079 --> 00:30:17.400
you've,

1153
00:30:17.640 --> 00:30:18.959
that's the great thing about prediction markets.

1154
00:30:19.000 --> 00:30:19.859
There's always another market.

1155
00:30:19.959 --> 00:30:21.390
There's always another thing to move on to,

1156
00:30:21.640 --> 00:30:22.780
always something else to do.

1157
00:30:23.000 --> 00:30:23.280
You,

1158
00:30:23.359 --> 00:30:23.619
uh,

1159
00:30:23.839 --> 00:30:24.030
work,

1160
00:30:24.119 --> 00:30:24.540
uh,

1161
00:30:24.619 --> 00:30:24.979
really hard,

1162
00:30:25.040 --> 00:30:25.310
you.

1163
00:30:25.364 --> 00:30:25.915
And you've done very,

1164
00:30:25.964 --> 00:30:26.744
very well,

1165
00:30:27.045 --> 00:30:27.165
uh,

1166
00:30:27.275 --> 00:30:28.625
in the world of golf.

1167
00:30:28.714 --> 00:30:28.805
Uh,

1168
00:30:28.844 --> 00:30:30.125
this is kind of like your,

1169
00:30:30.324 --> 00:30:31.005
your thing.

1170
00:30:31.084 --> 00:30:32.165
Like you love golf,

1171
00:30:32.224 --> 00:30:33.234
you've built a,

1172
00:30:33.415 --> 00:30:33.645
uh,

1173
00:30:33.685 --> 00:30:34.905
predictable terminal

1174
00:30:35.135 --> 00:30:38.405
that goes through and assesses each golfer's chance to do this,

1175
00:30:38.625 --> 00:30:38.964
go through,

1176
00:30:39.084 --> 00:30:40.785
look for different contracts that are available

1177
00:30:41.165 --> 00:30:42.905
on all the different prediction markets.

1178
00:30:43.165 --> 00:30:43.474
Um,

1179
00:30:43.604 --> 00:30:43.685
uh,

1180
00:30:43.744 --> 00:30:43.755
uh,

1181
00:30:43.844 --> 00:30:44.045
you know,

1182
00:30:44.125 --> 00:30:45.045
there's always a tournament,

1183
00:30:45.244 --> 00:30:45.724
uh,

1184
00:30:45.805 --> 00:30:45.964
you know,

1185
00:30:46.045 --> 00:30:47.824
on Thursday and going into the weekend.

1186
00:30:48.324 --> 00:30:49.564
What do you have coming up for this weekend?

1187
00:30:50.800 --> 00:30:50.989
Yeah,

1188
00:30:51.089 --> 00:30:51.369
and I,

1189
00:30:51.449 --> 00:30:52.709
I know that you follow golf

1190
00:30:52.890 --> 00:30:53.449
every day,

1191
00:30:53.609 --> 00:30:57.430
so you're very well aware that right now we're in the playoffs of golf.

1192
00:30:57.579 --> 00:30:57.890
Uh,

1193
00:30:57.969 --> 00:30:58.170
the,

1194
00:30:58.229 --> 00:30:59.109
the FedEx

1195
00:30:59.680 --> 00:31:00.319
Cup is happening,

1196
00:31:00.369 --> 00:31:00.890
like we're,

1197
00:31:01.050 --> 00:31:02.270
we're into the playoffs.

1198
00:31:02.650 --> 00:31:03.150
So

1199
00:31:03.489 --> 00:31:03.839
it's,

1200
00:31:03.930 --> 00:31:05.859
it's a different style of tournament this weekend.

1201
00:31:05.959 --> 00:31:07.550
The top 70 players are,

1202
00:31:07.560 --> 00:31:08.910
are now

1203
00:31:09.209 --> 00:31:10.329
in the running for,

1204
00:31:10.530 --> 00:31:10.969
for the,

1205
00:31:11.089 --> 00:31:11.609
the,

1206
00:31:11.949 --> 00:31:12.849
the final championship,

1207
00:31:12.930 --> 00:31:14.849
but every tournament has its own champion.

1208
00:31:15.209 --> 00:31:16.670
So we're going into the FedEx Cup,

1209
00:31:16.930 --> 00:31:17.209
uh,

1210
00:31:17.449 --> 00:31:18.890
Saint Jude championship this weekend.

1211
00:31:18.949 --> 00:31:19.910
And it's gonna be a great field,

1212
00:31:19.989 --> 00:31:21.949
but there's 70 people supposed to make it.

1213
00:31:22.069 --> 00:31:22.890
Daniel Berger,

1214
00:31:23.229 --> 00:31:23.670
uh,

1215
00:31:23.869 --> 00:31:24.030
he,

1216
00:31:24.109 --> 00:31:24.949
he didn't cut the mustard.

1217
00:31:25.030 --> 00:31:25.219
He's,

1218
00:31:25.229 --> 00:31:25.349
uh,

1219
00:31:25.430 --> 00:31:26.280
he's out with an injury,

1220
00:31:26.380 --> 00:31:26.589
uh,

1221
00:31:26.750 --> 00:31:27.189
this weekend.

1222
00:31:27.310 --> 00:31:28.739
So we got 69 players.

1223
00:31:29.109 --> 00:31:30.510
What's typically a field of,

1224
00:31:30.589 --> 00:31:30.790
of,

1225
00:31:30.949 --> 00:31:30.989
say,

1226
00:31:31.030 --> 00:31:32.530
150 is now,

1227
00:31:32.670 --> 00:31:32.829
you know,

1228
00:31:32.949 --> 00:31:34.290
just 69 players.

1229
00:31:34.670 --> 00:31:35.229
So,

1230
00:31:35.469 --> 00:31:35.780
the,

1231
00:31:35.910 --> 00:31:37.569
the odds are completely different.

1232
00:31:37.680 --> 00:31:38.209
And

1233
00:31:39.030 --> 00:31:41.020
one of the things that I'm always looking at is,

1234
00:31:41.030 --> 00:31:41.180
uh,

1235
00:31:41.189 --> 00:31:41.910
hole in one,

1236
00:31:42.229 --> 00:31:42.650
some of the,

1237
00:31:42.829 --> 00:31:43.890
some of the more special.

1238
00:31:44.560 --> 00:31:44.760
You know,

1239
00:31:44.910 --> 00:31:45.800
features on Calhi,

1240
00:31:45.959 --> 00:31:46.699
you can do,

1241
00:31:46.760 --> 00:31:47.109
uh,

1242
00:31:47.119 --> 00:31:47.540
different,

1243
00:31:48.040 --> 00:31:48.479
um,

1244
00:31:48.599 --> 00:31:48.750
you know,

1245
00:31:48.959 --> 00:31:49.300
side,

1246
00:31:49.880 --> 00:31:50.030
uh,

1247
00:31:50.040 --> 00:31:50.819
positions,

1248
00:31:51.119 --> 00:31:53.660
and a hole in one is always interesting to me because it's a math issue.

1249
00:31:53.930 --> 00:31:54.270
Um,

1250
00:31:54.439 --> 00:31:55.439
there's a certain amount of players,

1251
00:31:55.520 --> 00:31:57.250
a certain amount of par threes,

1252
00:31:57.680 --> 00:31:59.150
and if the conditions are right,

1253
00:31:59.479 --> 00:31:59.969
the

1254
00:32:00.729 --> 00:32:01.199
Courses,

1255
00:32:01.250 --> 00:32:01.609
you know,

1256
00:32:01.770 --> 00:32:01.839
a,

1257
00:32:01.890 --> 00:32:03.829
a fairly easy course for these players.

1258
00:32:04.250 --> 00:32:04.630
Your

1259
00:32:04.810 --> 00:32:05.400
chances of a,

1260
00:32:05.449 --> 00:32:05.579
a,

1261
00:32:05.609 --> 00:32:06.599
a hole in one go way up.

1262
00:32:06.680 --> 00:32:06.770
Well,

1263
00:32:06.810 --> 00:32:07.390
this weekend,

1264
00:32:07.530 --> 00:32:09.750
you only have a field of 69

1265
00:32:10.219 --> 00:32:10.910
players,

1266
00:32:11.209 --> 00:32:14.430
and I think there's around 1100 opportunities for

1267
00:32:14.569 --> 00:32:15.250
a hole in one.

1268
00:32:15.329 --> 00:32:15.410
Well,

1269
00:32:15.489 --> 00:32:15.650
the,

1270
00:32:15.729 --> 00:32:16.410
the math,

1271
00:32:16.650 --> 00:32:19.390
the odds on a hole in one are like 1 in 3000.

1272
00:32:19.930 --> 00:32:20.400
So,

1273
00:32:20.760 --> 00:32:20.770
uh,

1274
00:32:20.849 --> 00:32:21.089
you know,

1275
00:32:21.209 --> 00:32:23.729
I'm going no on a hole in one this weekend because of that.

1276
00:32:23.800 --> 00:32:23.930
I,

1277
00:32:24.010 --> 00:32:24.369
I just,

1278
00:32:24.489 --> 00:32:25.589
I don't feel like

1279
00:32:25.770 --> 00:32:26.810
there will be a hole in one.

1280
00:32:27.290 --> 00:32:29.040
That is around on Calhi,

1281
00:32:29.140 --> 00:32:31.550
that's around 58 cents right now in the no position.

1282
00:32:32.089 --> 00:32:33.630
And then to have two

1283
00:32:33.920 --> 00:32:35.670
hole in ones would be even more

1284
00:32:36.530 --> 00:32:37.520
of an anomaly,

1285
00:32:37.810 --> 00:32:38.770
and that's at 90 cents.

1286
00:32:38.849 --> 00:32:40.290
Now the liquidity may be,

1287
00:32:40.449 --> 00:32:40.699
you know,

1288
00:32:40.839 --> 00:32:41.579
an issue right now,

1289
00:32:41.650 --> 00:32:42.449
but as you get into the weekend,

1290
00:32:42.500 --> 00:32:43.569
just keep an eye on that.

1291
00:32:44.290 --> 00:32:45.250
These guys are good.

1292
00:32:45.319 --> 00:32:46.250
They could hit a hole in one,

1293
00:32:46.359 --> 00:32:46.650
but the,

1294
00:32:46.729 --> 00:32:48.040
but the thing that I'm looking at is,

1295
00:32:48.089 --> 00:32:48.489
it's just a,

1296
00:32:48.599 --> 00:32:49.790
it's a small field.

1297
00:32:50.170 --> 00:32:51.829
The likelihood of that happening is not gonna be there.

1298
00:32:52.369 --> 00:32:52.819
And then,

1299
00:32:52.890 --> 00:32:53.170
you know,

1300
00:32:53.329 --> 00:32:56.189
you have the best players in the world that are competing this weekend.

1301
00:32:56.810 --> 00:32:57.449
And so,

1302
00:32:57.619 --> 00:32:58.699
you're gonna have Scotty there,

1303
00:32:58.859 --> 00:32:59.339
Rory,

1304
00:32:59.449 --> 00:33:00.010
all the best,

1305
00:33:00.060 --> 00:33:01.839
and you wanna make sure that you're not just,

1306
00:33:02.420 --> 00:33:02.920
you know,

1307
00:33:03.619 --> 00:33:05.439
throwing dollars at your favorite player

1308
00:33:05.699 --> 00:33:06.599
at the wrong price,

1309
00:33:06.739 --> 00:33:08.359
cause Scotty right now is the favorite.

1310
00:33:08.930 --> 00:33:10.040
But I would actually

1311
00:33:10.300 --> 00:33:12.839
make a case to take a no position on Scotty right now,

1312
00:33:13.219 --> 00:33:13.530
and,

1313
00:33:13.540 --> 00:33:14.079
um,

1314
00:33:14.420 --> 00:33:14.900
and that's crazy,

1315
00:33:14.979 --> 00:33:16.000
he's the #1 player in the world,

1316
00:33:16.140 --> 00:33:16.479
but

1317
00:33:16.619 --> 00:33:19.339
you've got such a strong field with no cut,

1318
00:33:19.859 --> 00:33:21.060
essentially at the end of the tournament,

1319
00:33:21.180 --> 00:33:22.619
the top 50 advance,

1320
00:33:22.939 --> 00:33:25.060
so you're really looking at 4 days of play,

1321
00:33:25.140 --> 00:33:25.780
and it's,

1322
00:33:25.900 --> 00:33:27.199
it's anybody's

1323
00:33:27.680 --> 00:33:28.680
tournament this weekend.

1324
00:33:29.219 --> 00:33:29.380
That's,

1325
00:33:29.420 --> 00:33:29.930
that's interesting,

1326
00:33:29.939 --> 00:33:30.660
a couple of things on that.

1327
00:33:30.739 --> 00:33:31.119
Um,

1328
00:33:31.420 --> 00:33:31.699
one,

1329
00:33:31.819 --> 00:33:33.339
the hole in one number is interesting,

1330
00:33:33.380 --> 00:33:35.459
and I know you said there's not tons of liquidity there yet,

1331
00:33:35.579 --> 00:33:35.839
but

1332
00:33:36.170 --> 00:33:38.949
Like I feel like I've seen those numbers for full tournaments,

1333
00:33:39.050 --> 00:33:39.209
right?

1334
00:33:39.290 --> 00:33:41.109
Like where you have a full field,

1335
00:33:41.489 --> 00:33:41.880
um,

1336
00:33:42.010 --> 00:33:44.469
and the fact that they're around that level

1337
00:33:44.689 --> 00:33:46.050
is interesting and maybe,

1338
00:33:46.170 --> 00:33:47.410
maybe shows some value there.

1339
00:33:47.489 --> 00:33:47.540
That,

1340
00:33:47.689 --> 00:33:47.810
you know,

1341
00:33:47.920 --> 00:33:48.550
as you point out,

1342
00:33:48.670 --> 00:33:49.030
like,

1343
00:33:49.530 --> 00:33:52.239
golfers are incredibly good at hitting it very close to the hole.

1344
00:33:52.530 --> 00:33:53.750
The hole in one aspect of it,

1345
00:33:53.770 --> 00:33:55.250
at some level is kind of just luck,

1346
00:33:55.329 --> 00:33:55.530
you know,

1347
00:33:55.609 --> 00:33:57.839
you're hitting it in that general area and it goes in.

1348
00:33:58.250 --> 00:34:00.530
That happens with lesser golfers as well,

1349
00:34:00.640 --> 00:34:00.810
you know,

1350
00:34:00.930 --> 00:34:01.569
from time to time.

1351
00:34:01.689 --> 00:34:01.969
So,

1352
00:34:02.290 --> 00:34:02.479
Uh,

1353
00:34:02.689 --> 00:34:03.520
that's an interesting one,

1354
00:34:03.530 --> 00:34:03.680
and,

1355
00:34:03.760 --> 00:34:04.650
and I know you've done well.

1356
00:34:04.729 --> 00:34:06.770
I've actually done well on those hole in one markets as well.

1357
00:34:06.849 --> 00:34:09.469
Like if there's something interesting and fun about it.

1358
00:34:09.739 --> 00:34:09.929
Uh,

1359
00:34:10.168 --> 00:34:10.489
again,

1360
00:34:10.610 --> 00:34:11.110
you know,

1361
00:34:11.208 --> 00:34:11.929
at least for me,

1362
00:34:12.050 --> 00:34:13.208
this is not my expertise.

1363
00:34:13.310 --> 00:34:15.540
I don't know golf at all as you make fun of me.

1364
00:34:15.810 --> 00:34:16.080
Um,

1365
00:34:16.250 --> 00:34:16.810
but it is,

1366
00:34:16.879 --> 00:34:17.208
uh,

1367
00:34:17.290 --> 00:34:17.489
it's a,

1368
00:34:17.649 --> 00:34:19.728
it's just fun to kind of sprinkle a little bit around on,

1369
00:34:19.770 --> 00:34:19.958
on,

1370
00:34:20.070 --> 00:34:20.860
on some of these,

1371
00:34:21.129 --> 00:34:21.360
uh,

1372
00:34:21.409 --> 00:34:22.070
positions.

1373
00:34:22.168 --> 00:34:25.129
And you said no on Scheff what is Scheffler trading at?

1374
00:34:26.570 --> 00:34:26.719
Uh,

1375
00:34:26.820 --> 00:34:28.938
he's around 12 to 15 cents right now,

1376
00:34:29.030 --> 00:34:29.570
um,

1377
00:34:29.938 --> 00:34:30.899
and so he's,

1378
00:34:31.060 --> 00:34:31.219
I'm,

1379
00:34:31.300 --> 00:34:32.418
I'm looking at the markets right now,

1380
00:34:32.500 --> 00:34:32.899
he's

1381
00:34:33.699 --> 00:34:34.179
Uh,

1382
00:34:34.300 --> 00:34:34.728
right now,

1383
00:34:34.860 --> 00:34:34.899
oh,

1384
00:34:34.969 --> 00:34:36.100
he's at 16 cents right now.

1385
00:34:36.219 --> 00:34:36.739
So he's,

1386
00:34:36.860 --> 00:34:39.239
he's actually even gone up since I saw him earlier.

1387
00:34:40.010 --> 00:34:40.260
Uh,

1388
00:34:40.379 --> 00:34:43.179
McIlroy is at 55 cents.

1389
00:34:43.699 --> 00:34:43.899
Uh,

1390
00:34:44.020 --> 00:34:44.918
but I like Xander.

1391
00:34:45.100 --> 00:34:45.219
I mean,

1392
00:34:45.260 --> 00:34:46.728
if you're gonna take a flyer on somebody,

1393
00:34:47.020 --> 00:34:48.280
Xander Schofly is at

1394
00:34:48.580 --> 00:34:49.379
around $4.6.

1395
00:34:49.969 --> 00:34:50.139
Um,

1396
00:34:50.219 --> 00:34:51.639
that's not bad for who he is,

1397
00:34:51.728 --> 00:34:52.159
but then

1398
00:34:52.418 --> 00:34:54.080
you're gonna see a lot of movement over the weekend.

1399
00:34:54.260 --> 00:34:58.229
I like to look at some of the people that have a chance to move up the leaderboard.

1400
00:34:58.550 --> 00:35:01.469
And then you can sell the position as they as they go up,

1401
00:35:01.510 --> 00:35:02.770
because like Justin Rose

1402
00:35:03.139 --> 00:35:05.270
won the tournament last year and he's at 1%.

1403
00:35:05.870 --> 00:35:06.639
So like he's,

1404
00:35:06.750 --> 00:35:08.649
he's definitely the kind of player that could

1405
00:35:08.949 --> 00:35:10.899
go up into the top 10

1406
00:35:11.459 --> 00:35:13.030
I quickly ladder out of that,

1407
00:35:13.070 --> 00:35:13.429
uh,

1408
00:35:13.500 --> 00:35:14.169
at some point.

1409
00:35:15.149 --> 00:35:15.459
Right,

1410
00:35:15.629 --> 00:35:15.780
uh,

1411
00:35:15.949 --> 00:35:17.260
Jordan Spieth is an interesting one.

1412
00:35:17.310 --> 00:35:17.429
I mean,

1413
00:35:17.510 --> 00:35:19.010
he's a name that everyone knows.

1414
00:35:19.149 --> 00:35:19.360
Uh,

1415
00:35:19.510 --> 00:35:21.290
he cannot close lately,

1416
00:35:21.389 --> 00:35:22.370
he's just not.

1417
00:35:23.239 --> 00:35:24.129
He's gotta make the,

1418
00:35:24.250 --> 00:35:24.629
the,

1419
00:35:25.050 --> 00:35:27.449
I think he's gotta make the top 23 players this week.

1420
00:35:27.530 --> 00:35:28.169
I can't remember what it was.

1421
00:35:28.250 --> 00:35:28.530
He has to,

1422
00:35:28.649 --> 00:35:29.270
he has to be

1423
00:35:29.479 --> 00:35:29.689
very,

1424
00:35:29.850 --> 00:35:32.189
very good this weekend just to advance to the next weekend.

1425
00:35:32.929 --> 00:35:33.429
And,

1426
00:35:33.449 --> 00:35:34.189
um,

1427
00:35:34.570 --> 00:35:35.050
I just,

1428
00:35:35.169 --> 00:35:35.639
I don't know.

1429
00:35:35.729 --> 00:35:35.840
I,

1430
00:35:35.889 --> 00:35:36.050
I,

1431
00:35:36.129 --> 00:35:36.570
I don't,

1432
00:35:36.780 --> 00:35:37.090
if he,

1433
00:35:37.169 --> 00:35:37.489
if he,

1434
00:35:37.610 --> 00:35:39.169
if he moves up the leaderboard,

1435
00:35:39.409 --> 00:35:40.169
he's doing OK.

1436
00:35:40.250 --> 00:35:42.169
I would actually take a no position against him.

1437
00:35:42.409 --> 00:35:44.080
I just don't think he'll end up winning,

1438
00:35:44.090 --> 00:35:44.469
and

1439
00:35:44.810 --> 00:35:45.330
I'm not so sure,

1440
00:35:45.409 --> 00:35:47.070
but he'll end up even advancing till next weekend.

1441
00:35:47.610 --> 00:35:47.919
No offense,

1442
00:35:48.010 --> 00:35:48.209
Jordan,

1443
00:35:48.330 --> 00:35:49.090
but we love you here in,

1444
00:35:49.199 --> 00:35:49.750
in Texas.

1445
00:35:50.429 --> 00:35:50.750
Uh,

1446
00:35:50.830 --> 00:35:50.989
I,

1447
00:35:51.070 --> 00:35:51.610
I will say,

1448
00:35:51.790 --> 00:35:52.030
uh,

1449
00:35:52.229 --> 00:35:52.389
you know,

1450
00:35:52.439 --> 00:35:53.949
I don't know that much about golf,

1451
00:35:54.110 --> 00:35:54.969
but I do know

1452
00:35:55.070 --> 00:35:56.709
if I went no on Scotty Scheffler,

1453
00:35:56.790 --> 00:35:58.550
I would spend my weekend in agony,

1454
00:35:58.830 --> 00:35:59.129
uh,

1455
00:35:59.669 --> 00:36:01.129
just in total fear

1456
00:36:01.310 --> 00:36:02.270
that I would lose that one.

1457
00:36:02.350 --> 00:36:04.030
So I don't know if I could go with you on that,

1458
00:36:04.110 --> 00:36:04.350
uh,

1459
00:36:04.469 --> 00:36:04.600
but,

1460
00:36:04.649 --> 00:36:04.909
uh,

1461
00:36:05.429 --> 00:36:05.570
interesting,

1462
00:36:05.629 --> 00:36:05.790
uh,

1463
00:36:05.909 --> 00:36:06.070
picks,

1464
00:36:06.090 --> 00:36:06.229
and,

1465
00:36:06.270 --> 00:36:06.340
and,

1466
00:36:06.419 --> 00:36:07.219
and like they're just,

1467
00:36:07.429 --> 00:36:07.989
it's fun to watch.

1468
00:36:08.110 --> 00:36:08.310
There's,

1469
00:36:08.389 --> 00:36:08.550
you know,

1470
00:36:08.629 --> 00:36:09.429
the golf stuff is,

1471
00:36:09.540 --> 00:36:09.750
is,

1472
00:36:09.899 --> 00:36:11.709
is an interesting way to play the prediction markets.

1473
00:36:11.750 --> 00:36:11.870
I mean,

1474
00:36:11.909 --> 00:36:12.100
you,

1475
00:36:12.229 --> 00:36:13.909
you point out Justin Rose at 1%.

1476
00:36:14.340 --> 00:36:18.379
You know that we've done a lot of that in elections where you kind of take someone low,

1477
00:36:18.500 --> 00:36:19.689
hope they get hot early,

1478
00:36:19.939 --> 00:36:21.689
hope the vote comes out early for them,

1479
00:36:21.739 --> 00:36:23.570
they move up to 2345,

1480
00:36:23.870 --> 00:36:25.409
and you can easily get out of that position,

1481
00:36:25.419 --> 00:36:25.899
and who knows,

1482
00:36:25.949 --> 00:36:26.939
maybe they hold on,

1483
00:36:27.300 --> 00:36:27.419
uh,

1484
00:36:27.500 --> 00:36:29.120
and then you kind of have a free roll

1485
00:36:29.500 --> 00:36:30.959
at a potential big win.

1486
00:36:31.179 --> 00:36:31.419
Uh,

1487
00:36:31.540 --> 00:36:32.570
so that is the,

1488
00:36:33.139 --> 00:36:33.449
you say you're like,

1489
00:36:33.500 --> 00:36:33.580
I'm,

1490
00:36:33.689 --> 00:36:34.840
I'm like there's a tournament this weekend.

1491
00:36:35.139 --> 00:36:35.340
Yeah,

1492
00:36:35.500 --> 00:36:35.969
it's the big,

1493
00:36:36.100 --> 00:36:36.979
it's the FedEx Cup.

1494
00:36:37.060 --> 00:36:37.800
It's the biggest,

1495
00:36:37.860 --> 00:36:38.100
uh,

1496
00:36:38.260 --> 00:36:38.419
you know,

1497
00:36:38.540 --> 00:36:40.139
the biggest end of the season situation.

1498
00:36:40.500 --> 00:36:40.629
Uh,

1499
00:36:40.709 --> 00:36:41.179
that's going on.

1500
00:36:41.189 --> 00:36:41.310
Well,

1501
00:36:41.429 --> 00:36:42.290
and just so you know,

1502
00:36:42.629 --> 00:36:42.709
the,

1503
00:36:42.780 --> 00:36:46.449
the end of the season is like they go from Memphis to Saint Louis to Atlanta.

1504
00:36:46.850 --> 00:36:48.500
So it's like sweltering heat,

1505
00:36:48.909 --> 00:36:48.989
you know,

1506
00:36:49.070 --> 00:36:50.489
these guys are gonna be hot,

1507
00:36:50.540 --> 00:36:51.139
and it's gonna be a,

1508
00:36:51.229 --> 00:36:52.189
it's gonna be fun to watch them,

1509
00:36:52.270 --> 00:36:52.590
and they're,

1510
00:36:52.679 --> 00:36:53.070
they're,

1511
00:36:53.290 --> 00:36:54.110
they're the best in the world,

1512
00:36:54.189 --> 00:36:54.350
but,

1513
00:36:54.389 --> 00:36:54.620
uh,

1514
00:36:54.669 --> 00:36:55.550
it is for golfers,

1515
00:36:55.629 --> 00:36:58.810
it's kind of like moving into a fun season of just seeing these guys,

1516
00:36:59.149 --> 00:36:59.689
uh,

1517
00:36:59.709 --> 00:37:00.820
compete for the trophy.

1518
00:37:01.280 --> 00:37:01.350
Can,

1519
00:37:01.469 --> 00:37:01.989
can you put these,

1520
00:37:02.060 --> 00:37:02.219
uh,

1521
00:37:02.229 --> 00:37:03.790
picks up at the chat at predictable.

1522
00:37:03.935 --> 00:37:05.064
Show.com for people to check out.

1523
00:37:05.245 --> 00:37:05.375
Yeah,

1524
00:37:05.455 --> 00:37:06.114
I was gonna say,

1525
00:37:06.175 --> 00:37:06.604
I'll put the,

1526
00:37:06.655 --> 00:37:06.844
uh,

1527
00:37:06.854 --> 00:37:07.514
this weekend I'll

1528
00:37:07.774 --> 00:37:08.135
starting tomorrow,

1529
00:37:08.175 --> 00:37:11.034
I'll put some of the thoughts that I have for like top 20 plays,

1530
00:37:11.455 --> 00:37:11.725
um,

1531
00:37:11.854 --> 00:37:12.975
some guys that I'm looking at,

1532
00:37:13.054 --> 00:37:13.294
and,

1533
00:37:13.334 --> 00:37:13.485
uh,

1534
00:37:13.495 --> 00:37:14.725
if anybody has any questions in the chat,

1535
00:37:14.774 --> 00:37:15.554
if you like golf,

1536
00:37:15.804 --> 00:37:15.965
uh,

1537
00:37:16.094 --> 00:37:16.604
feel free to,

1538
00:37:16.614 --> 00:37:16.725
uh,

1539
00:37:16.735 --> 00:37:18.895
ping me in the chat on predictableShow.com.

1540
00:37:19.419 --> 00:37:19.570
Uh,

1541
00:37:19.659 --> 00:37:19.840
and,

1542
00:37:19.899 --> 00:37:20.050
uh,

1543
00:37:20.219 --> 00:37:20.620
before you go,

1544
00:37:20.750 --> 00:37:21.060
uh,

1545
00:37:21.139 --> 00:37:21.340
the,

1546
00:37:21.459 --> 00:37:22.290
the premium tier,

1547
00:37:22.379 --> 00:37:22.540
uh,

1548
00:37:22.580 --> 00:37:22.729
uh,

1549
00:37:22.870 --> 00:37:22.879
we,

1550
00:37:23.020 --> 00:37:24.719
we had a great chat last night.

1551
00:37:24.820 --> 00:37:24.929
Uh,

1552
00:37:24.979 --> 00:37:25.540
you joined us,

1553
00:37:25.620 --> 00:37:26.649
Dan Andros joined us.

1554
00:37:26.709 --> 00:37:26.939
We did,

1555
00:37:27.020 --> 00:37:27.250
I think,

1556
00:37:27.260 --> 00:37:28.360
44 hours.

1557
00:37:28.459 --> 00:37:28.959
I mean,

1558
00:37:29.350 --> 00:37:29.689
hopefully,

1559
00:37:29.699 --> 00:37:29.969
that's,

1560
00:37:29.979 --> 00:37:30.209
uh,

1561
00:37:30.219 --> 00:37:30.760
enough value,

1562
00:37:31.179 --> 00:37:31.389
uh,

1563
00:37:31.500 --> 00:37:32.300
for your subscription.

1564
00:37:32.419 --> 00:37:33.090
I think it is.

1565
00:37:33.239 --> 00:37:33.250
Uh,

1566
00:37:33.260 --> 00:37:33.419
we,

1567
00:37:33.500 --> 00:37:34.050
we talked to,

1568
00:37:34.100 --> 00:37:34.189
uh,

1569
00:37:34.379 --> 00:37:35.540
we had people in the chat last night

1570
00:37:35.540 --> 00:37:37.739
saying they pay for their entire year's subscription,

1571
00:37:38.070 --> 00:37:38.260
uh,

1572
00:37:38.379 --> 00:37:40.120
with just that one night of trading.

1573
00:37:40.379 --> 00:37:40.820
Um,

1574
00:37:41.100 --> 00:37:42.820
we got a lot of stuff coming up,

1575
00:37:42.830 --> 00:37:42.840
uh,

1576
00:37:42.860 --> 00:37:43.179
on this.

1577
00:37:43.300 --> 00:37:43.370
I,

1578
00:37:43.459 --> 00:37:45.300
we've already rolled out Stu's picks.

1579
00:37:45.419 --> 00:37:45.719
What is it,

1580
00:37:45.729 --> 00:37:47.179
2/200 picks.

1581
00:37:47.620 --> 00:37:47.820
Uh,

1582
00:37:47.899 --> 00:37:51.489
that I've made personally and are in my portfolio that you get to see.

1583
00:37:51.820 --> 00:37:53.300
Can you give us an idea of a couple of other

1584
00:37:53.300 --> 00:37:55.219
things that are on the site if people want to,

1585
00:37:55.260 --> 00:37:55.409
uh,

1586
00:37:55.500 --> 00:37:55.899
check it out?

1587
00:37:57.100 --> 00:37:57.350
Yeah,

1588
00:37:57.459 --> 00:37:58.000
we've got

1589
00:37:58.300 --> 00:37:59.419
more features rolling out,

1590
00:37:59.530 --> 00:38:02.340
but right now you have a lot to take advantage of.

1591
00:38:02.580 --> 00:38:04.419
One of the things we like to talk about is the community,

1592
00:38:04.510 --> 00:38:05.179
so like last night,

1593
00:38:05.189 --> 00:38:07.500
it was fun just seeing everyone in the chat talking,

1594
00:38:07.580 --> 00:38:08.050
interacting.

1595
00:38:08.100 --> 00:38:09.399
We're starting to learn names.

1596
00:38:09.739 --> 00:38:09.919
Uh,

1597
00:38:09.979 --> 00:38:12.760
it is a tight knit group of folks that just love

1598
00:38:12.979 --> 00:38:13.689
talking to Stu,

1599
00:38:14.169 --> 00:38:14.500
but like,

1600
00:38:14.620 --> 00:38:16.090
love talking about prediction markets.

1601
00:38:16.500 --> 00:38:16.699
We're,

1602
00:38:16.780 --> 00:38:19.139
we're learning together as well on some of the stuff.

1603
00:38:19.219 --> 00:38:19.370
Uh,

1604
00:38:19.500 --> 00:38:20.860
the prediction market world is kind of.

1605
00:38:21.020 --> 00:38:21.219
You know,

1606
00:38:21.340 --> 00:38:22.300
one of those things where,

1607
00:38:22.520 --> 00:38:23.340
as you saw last night in the,

1608
00:38:23.419 --> 00:38:24.409
in the Hong race,

1609
00:38:24.580 --> 00:38:25.129
it's just,

1610
00:38:25.620 --> 00:38:27.020
there's a lot of rodeoing going on.

1611
00:38:27.100 --> 00:38:28.080
So it's fun to kind of

1612
00:38:28.219 --> 00:38:29.449
talk about that stuff as it's happening.

1613
00:38:29.500 --> 00:38:30.840
That's what's happening in the community,

1614
00:38:31.179 --> 00:38:31.340
uh,

1615
00:38:31.419 --> 00:38:32.620
but we're building that for the midterms,

1616
00:38:32.679 --> 00:38:33.040
so

1617
00:38:33.199 --> 00:38:36.159
we've got a lot of things that we're trying to build so that you guys have

1618
00:38:36.620 --> 00:38:38.229
access to the latest and greatest data,

1619
00:38:38.340 --> 00:38:38.739
um,

1620
00:38:38.899 --> 00:38:39.060
but,

1621
00:38:39.179 --> 00:38:40.020
but even beyond that,

1622
00:38:40.100 --> 00:38:40.219
you know,

1623
00:38:40.300 --> 00:38:40.389
the,

1624
00:38:40.419 --> 00:38:40.620
the,

1625
00:38:40.699 --> 00:38:41.679
the predictable

1626
00:38:41.820 --> 00:38:42.500
world is,

1627
00:38:42.580 --> 00:38:44.340
is built for prediction markets,

1628
00:38:44.459 --> 00:38:44.760
so.

1629
00:38:45.389 --> 00:38:48.510
Going into the presidential 2028 year,

1630
00:38:48.590 --> 00:38:49.620
we wanna make sure that we're,

1631
00:38:49.709 --> 00:38:49.979
we're,

1632
00:38:50.060 --> 00:38:51.729
we're seizing every opportunity

1633
00:38:51.949 --> 00:38:54.030
to understand and know what's gonna happen in those markets,

1634
00:38:54.110 --> 00:38:54.689
but there's,

1635
00:38:54.989 --> 00:38:55.110
you know,

1636
00:38:55.229 --> 00:38:56.110
culture markets,

1637
00:38:56.270 --> 00:38:57.389
there's obviously sports,

1638
00:38:57.510 --> 00:38:58.760
there's financial markets that

1639
00:38:58.949 --> 00:39:00.050
we can kind of talk about,

1640
00:39:00.110 --> 00:39:00.340
uh,

1641
00:39:00.350 --> 00:39:00.879
throughout the,

1642
00:39:00.989 --> 00:39:01.889
the time to build,

1643
00:39:02.389 --> 00:39:03.310
to really build your knowledge,

1644
00:39:03.350 --> 00:39:04.149
but also build your.

1645
00:39:04.580 --> 00:39:05.189
Profitability,

1646
00:39:05.260 --> 00:39:06.489
even though we're not financial advisors,

1647
00:39:06.500 --> 00:39:08.219
we do not say that we are investment advisors.

1648
00:39:08.540 --> 00:39:09.820
We are playing in the space too and

1649
00:39:09.820 --> 00:39:12.010
we're just sharing what we're learning through that.

1650
00:39:12.340 --> 00:39:13.120
So you get insider

1651
00:39:13.439 --> 00:39:14.250
access into the,

1652
00:39:14.379 --> 00:39:15.969
the predictable community with,

1653
00:39:16.030 --> 00:39:16.580
with us,

1654
00:39:16.659 --> 00:39:17.320
they're live

1655
00:39:17.540 --> 00:39:20.439
and then Sue's picks we're updating every week and we will give those

1656
00:39:20.780 --> 00:39:21.010
to you.

1657
00:39:21.060 --> 00:39:21.590
But then,

1658
00:39:21.860 --> 00:39:22.100
you know,

1659
00:39:22.219 --> 00:39:24.659
we wanna hear from our premium subscribers along the

1660
00:39:24.659 --> 00:39:26.659
way because we're building this out for them.

1661
00:39:27.020 --> 00:39:29.060
Some of the features will be custom for the,

1662
00:39:29.100 --> 00:39:30.189
the needs out there

1663
00:39:30.459 --> 00:39:30.729
and,

1664
00:39:30.739 --> 00:39:30.889
uh,

1665
00:39:30.899 --> 00:39:31.909
it's been a lot of fun so far.

1666
00:39:32.010 --> 00:39:32.260
So we,

1667
00:39:32.340 --> 00:39:34.060
we are definitely very hands-on.

1668
00:39:34.409 --> 00:39:34.570
Uh,

1669
00:39:34.689 --> 00:39:35.169
you'll get to,

1670
00:39:35.209 --> 00:39:35.389
uh,

1671
00:39:35.399 --> 00:39:36.239
interact with,

1672
00:39:36.449 --> 00:39:37.209
with everyone in the,

1673
00:39:37.270 --> 00:39:38.540
in the principal chat.

1674
00:39:38.850 --> 00:39:39.209
I think right,

1675
00:39:39.290 --> 00:39:40.209
even right now as we're going live,

1676
00:39:40.250 --> 00:39:41.070
there's people talking,

1677
00:39:41.530 --> 00:39:41.760
uh,

1678
00:39:41.820 --> 00:39:42.239
in the chat,

1679
00:39:42.290 --> 00:39:43.169
which is a lot of fun to see.

1680
00:39:43.229 --> 00:39:43.590
So,

1681
00:39:43.719 --> 00:39:43.889
it's a,

1682
00:39:43.939 --> 00:39:44.810
it's a fun community.

1683
00:39:44.919 --> 00:39:45.090
It's,

1684
00:39:45.159 --> 00:39:45.929
it's prediction markets.

1685
00:39:46.010 --> 00:39:46.310
If you're,

1686
00:39:46.399 --> 00:39:48.909
if you're liking the opportunity to just to learn,

1687
00:39:49.250 --> 00:39:49.600
uh,

1688
00:39:49.729 --> 00:39:50.929
it's not overwhelming.

1689
00:39:51.090 --> 00:39:51.929
It can be a first,

1690
00:39:52.010 --> 00:39:55.050
but we're trying to make it as easy as possible for people to get into it.

1691
00:39:55.459 --> 00:39:57.739
And uh to be able to sign up and uh

1692
00:39:57.899 --> 00:39:58.500
and have fun.

1693
00:39:58.780 --> 00:39:58.979
All right,

1694
00:39:59.100 --> 00:39:59.169
well,

1695
00:39:59.219 --> 00:39:59.340
yeah,

1696
00:39:59.459 --> 00:40:00.860
join us at predictableshw.com.

1697
00:40:00.969 --> 00:40:01.649
Lots of great benefits.

1698
00:40:01.659 --> 00:40:02.219
I think you'll like it.

1699
00:40:02.270 --> 00:40:03.020
Can we bring up Brent,

1700
00:40:03.060 --> 00:40:03.320
uh,

1701
00:40:03.340 --> 00:40:05.250
full screen here for one more second,

1702
00:40:05.300 --> 00:40:05.679
uh,

1703
00:40:05.689 --> 00:40:07.439
just out of a level of concern.

1704
00:40:08.060 --> 00:40:08.409
Uh,

1705
00:40:08.540 --> 00:40:12.139
is it possible the Grim Reaper is over your left shoulder?

1706
00:40:14.229 --> 00:40:14.989
I hope not.

1707
00:40:15.149 --> 00:40:16.020
It does not.

1708
00:40:16.179 --> 00:40:16.649
Let me,

1709
00:40:16.989 --> 00:40:19.169
let me slow turn to make sure.

1710
00:40:19.469 --> 00:40:19.629
No,

1711
00:40:19.750 --> 00:40:19.989
uh,

1712
00:40:20.070 --> 00:40:20.949
that's actually a statue.

1713
00:40:21.110 --> 00:40:21.389
I don't know,

1714
00:40:21.429 --> 00:40:22.310
the blur feature.

1715
00:40:22.389 --> 00:40:24.080
I can never tell if it's a help or not,

1716
00:40:24.179 --> 00:40:24.310
you know,

1717
00:40:24.389 --> 00:40:24.709
these,

1718
00:40:25.110 --> 00:40:25.739
these things with,

1719
00:40:25.790 --> 00:40:25.939
uh,

1720
00:40:26.020 --> 00:40:26.790
with Zoom,

1721
00:40:27.070 --> 00:40:27.419
uh,

1722
00:40:27.550 --> 00:40:28.300
but yes,

1723
00:40:28.389 --> 00:40:29.330
it looks like I'm

1724
00:40:29.629 --> 00:40:30.389
trying not to get murdered,

1725
00:40:30.510 --> 00:40:30.929
I think.

1726
00:40:31.370 --> 00:40:32.100
I think there's a,

1727
00:40:32.110 --> 00:40:32.570
uh,

1728
00:40:32.850 --> 00:40:32.969
yeah,

1729
00:40:33.250 --> 00:40:34.020
there's a movie where there's,

1730
00:40:34.090 --> 00:40:34.590
there's like an

1731
00:40:34.909 --> 00:40:35.310
afterlife,

1732
00:40:35.409 --> 00:40:36.729
maybe it's Ghost with Patrick Swayze,

1733
00:40:37.250 --> 00:40:37.370
the,

1734
00:40:37.449 --> 00:40:38.090
the guy's just,

1735
00:40:38.169 --> 00:40:38.330
you know,

1736
00:40:38.449 --> 00:40:39.090
kind of creeping in.

1737
00:40:39.159 --> 00:40:39.800
That's what I feel like.

1738
00:40:39.929 --> 00:40:40.169
Thank you,

1739
00:40:40.360 --> 00:40:40.560
Stu,

1740
00:40:40.570 --> 00:40:41.250
for that haunting thought in my head.

1741
00:40:42.570 --> 00:40:42.969
You're welcome.

1742
00:40:43.129 --> 00:40:44.370
I'm just telling you to protect yourself.

1743
00:40:44.449 --> 00:40:44.629
Uh,

1744
00:40:44.729 --> 00:40:45.449
Brandon Evans,

1745
00:40:45.489 --> 00:40:45.639
uh,

1746
00:40:45.729 --> 00:40:46.709
he's a predictable

1747
00:40:47.169 --> 00:40:48.500
media president and,

1748
00:40:48.530 --> 00:40:48.840
uh,

1749
00:40:48.850 --> 00:40:49.649
golf guru.

1750
00:40:49.770 --> 00:40:50.000
Uh,

1751
00:40:50.090 --> 00:40:50.280
Brent,

1752
00:40:50.379 --> 00:40:51.149
thanks so much for hanging out,

1753
00:40:51.209 --> 00:40:51.439
and,

1754
00:40:51.489 --> 00:40:51.840
uh,

1755
00:40:51.850 --> 00:40:52.610
we'll talk to you soon.

1756
00:40:54.449 --> 00:40:54.659
All right,

1757
00:40:54.780 --> 00:40:55.139
uh,

1758
00:40:55.219 --> 00:40:57.979
thanks so much for joining us today on Predictable with Stu.

1759
00:40:58.300 --> 00:41:00.639
We have more coming up tomorrow,

1760
00:41:00.699 --> 00:41:00.860
uh,

1761
00:41:00.939 --> 00:41:01.179
some,

1762
00:41:01.250 --> 00:41:01.580
uh,

1763
00:41:01.620 --> 00:41:02.360
is it true?

1764
00:41:02.659 --> 00:41:02.979
Is this,

1765
00:41:03.060 --> 00:41:03.979
is it confirmed?

1766
00:41:04.209 --> 00:41:06.979
Do we have a Pat Gray sighting on this program?

1767
00:41:07.050 --> 00:41:07.459
Is that true,

1768
00:41:07.580 --> 00:41:07.939
Adam?

1769
00:41:08.540 --> 00:41:09.610
It's confirmed.

1770
00:41:09.739 --> 00:41:11.639
Pat Gray joins us for the first time

1771
00:41:11.820 --> 00:41:12.739
on Predictable with Sue.

1772
00:41:12.929 --> 00:41:15.820
He's got some interesting insight on a couple of different markets.

1773
00:41:15.889 --> 00:41:16.500
We'll also talk to him,

1774
00:41:16.620 --> 00:41:16.919
of course,

1775
00:41:17.010 --> 00:41:17.679
about the election,

1776
00:41:18.179 --> 00:41:18.300
uh,

1777
00:41:18.340 --> 00:41:19.479
and all sorts of stuff.

1778
00:41:19.739 --> 00:41:20.139
I wanna,

1779
00:41:20.199 --> 00:41:22.360
I wanna know Pat's position on

1780
00:41:22.689 --> 00:41:25.360
will Mitch McConnell resign because he's been covering

1781
00:41:25.360 --> 00:41:28.000
this nonstop for something like 60 days.

1782
00:41:28.449 --> 00:41:30.699
And I wanna know what he thinks on that one and,

1783
00:41:30.780 --> 00:41:31.620
and a bunch of other stuff.

1784
00:41:31.699 --> 00:41:32.840
So we'll have Pat Gray on

1785
00:41:33.100 --> 00:41:33.889
tomorrow and so much more.

1786
00:41:33.979 --> 00:41:34.919
Thanks so much for joining us.

1787
00:41:35.340 --> 00:41:39.780
Join us at predictableShow.com and on YouTube.com/atpredictableShow.